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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-25 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.11) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 117,319.38 (+5.5%) | 11 | 0.5% | 4h | 7.5d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 8% ±13 | 22% ±31 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 308 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 115,837.86–116,331.7 (+4.2%) | 8.5 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 8% ±12 | 43% ±22 | 22% ±18 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±12 | 34% ±35 | 52% ±57 | 4.8d | 1.73% | 0.64% | 126 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 114,109.42–114,356.34 (+2.7%) | 5.4 | 1.8% | 14h | 1.7d ago · 79× | 27% ±19 | 50% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 41% ±17 | 31 | 5% ±4 | 27% ±19 | 55% ±37 | 79% ±46 | 2.1d | 1.56% | 1.17% | 119 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 113,548.02 (+2.1%) | 4.3 | 1.5% | 7h | 3.0d ago · 67× | 27% ±18 | 50% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 4% ±3 | 27% ±18 | 58% ±34 | 64% ±54 | 2.3d | 1.29% | 0.86% | 146 → 3 | |
| at post · 111,163.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D VAH · 14D POC | 110,997.41–111,022.92 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 2.7d ago · 85× | 92% ±18 | 49% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 71% ±12 | 92% ±17 | 95% ±24 | 95% | 1h | 1.22% | 0.95% | 54 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 108,145.11 (-2.7%) | 5.5 | 2.1% | 15h | 2.9d ago · 115× | 26% ±18 | 44% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 49% ±16 | 38 | 4% ±3 | 26% ±18 | 46% ±35 | 57% ±56 | 4.1d | 1.20% | 0.63% | 140 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 107,396.11–107,575.86 (-3.2%) | 6.5 | 1.5% | 9h | 1.7d ago · 100× | 11% ±10 | 48% ±17 | 10% ±10 | 42% ±17 | 33 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±9 | 24% ±22 | 40% ±39 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.21% | 254 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 104,479.54 (-6.0%) | 12 | 0.3% | 37m | 22.1d ago · 37× | 6% ±7 | 21% ±24 | 7% ±15 | 71% ±27 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 12% ±16 | 22% ±31 | > 7d | 0.82% | 1.99% | 290 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 111,163.3 | 114,790.03 | 108,145.11 | expired | +0.19% |
| 14d | POC | long | 111,163.3 | 113,548.02 | 107,575.86 | expired | +0.19% |
| 30d | POC | long | 111,163.3 | 117,319.38 | 104,479.54 | expired | +0.19% |