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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-29 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.11) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 121,763.94–122,010.86 (+9.3%) | 14 | 2.5% | 24h | 1.7d ago · 79× | 9% ±15 | 49% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 43% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±14 | 22% ±36 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | 1.49% | 1.27% | 90 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 117,072.46 (+5.1%) | 7.7 | 0.6% | 3h | 7.5d ago · 38× | 4% ±5 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 14% ±17 | 26% ±32 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 285 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 116,578.62–118,307.06 (+4.7%) | 7.0 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 13% ±15 | 46% ±21 | 21% ±17 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±14 | 41% ±36 | 69% ±52 | 4.0d | 1.80% | 0.56% | 121 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 114,225.92 (+2.6%) | 3.8 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 89× | 30% ±15 | 50% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 41% ±17 | 31 | 4% ±3 | 29% ±15 | 58% ±28 | 63% ±42 | 2.0d | 1.04% | 0.91% | 208 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 112,378.04 (+0.9%) | 1.4 | 2.8% | 17h | 3.0d ago · 67× | 64% ±26 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 43% ±11 | 64% ±26 | 74% ±43 | 77% ±59 | 6h | 1.12% | 0.94% | 77 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 111,435.14 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.4% | 1.8d | 3.2d ago · 117× | 91% ±14 | 40% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 50% ±16 | 37 | 77% ±8 | 91% ±14 | 95% ±19 | 97% ±24 | 1h | 1.25% | 0.88% | 96 → 2 | |
| at post · 111,372 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 111,022.47–111,269.84 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.5% | 1.6d | 2.7d ago · 85× | 90% ±17 | 48% ±19 | 13% ±13 | 39% ±19 | 26 | 68% ±11 | 90% ±17 | 92% ±26 | 96% ±28 | 2h | 1.20% | 0.79% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 108,742.28 (-2.4%) | 3.5 | 2.0% | 14h | 2.6d ago · 100× | 34% ±15 | 56% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 8% ±4 | 35% ±15 | 52% ±27 | 64% ±42 | 2.5d | 1.28% | 0.92% | 228 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 107,689.5–108,430.26 (-2.6%) | 4.0 | 2.4% | 16h | 2.9d ago · 98× | 44% ±24 | 54% ±15 | 20% ±12 | 26% ±13 | 43 | 7% ±5 | 44% ±23 | 57% ±40 | 62% ±55 | 1.3d | 0.98% | 0.69% | 106 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 106,310.24 (-4.5%) | 6.8 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.7d ago · 57× | 7% ±8 | 35% ±21 | 9% ±12 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 19% ±22 | 35% ±42 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.69% | 224 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 104,479.54 (-6.2%) | 9.3 | 0.4% | 50m | 22.1d ago · 37× | 6% ±7 | 21% ±24 | 7% ±15 | 71% ±27 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 11% ±17 | 22% ±33 | > 7d | 0.82% | 1.99% | 257 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 111,372 | 112,378.04 | 106,310.24 | stop | -3.53% |
| 30d | POC | long | 111,372 | 117,072.46 | 104,479.54 | expired | -3.53% |