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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-30 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.11) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 116,825.54 (+7.8%) | 8.0 | 0.8% | 4h | 7.5d ago · 38× | 3% ±5 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 12% ±16 | 24% ±32 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 300 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 116,578.62–118,307.06 (+7.6%) | 7.8 | 1.0% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 11% ±13 | 46% ±21 | 21% ±17 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±13 | 42% ±34 | 69% ±52 | 3.9d | 1.80% | 0.56% | 136 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 113,896.96 (+5.1%) | 5.2 | 2.9% | 20h | 3.3d ago · 89× | 18% ±12 | 50% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 41% ±17 | 31 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±11 | 43% ±25 | 52% ±40 | 6.5d | 1.04% | 0.91% | 265 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 112,248.94 (+3.6%) | 3.7 | 4.1% | 1.0d | 3.0d ago · 67× | 28% ±19 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 5% ±4 | 28% ±18 | 68% ±32 | 74% ±50 | 2.0d | 1.12% | 0.94% | 136 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 111,269.84–111,456.53 (+2.7%) | 2.8 | 6.6% | 2.4d | 2.8d ago · 117× | 42% ±25 | 39% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 49% ±16 | 37 | 16% ±7 | 43% ±25 | 68% ±41 | 77% ±59 | 1.4d | 1.27% | 0.84% | 92 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 109,911.78–113,615.58 (+1.5%) | 1.5 | 3.2% | 19h | 1.7d ago · 79× | 64% ±22 | 49% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 43% ±17 | 32 | 39% ±9 | 64% ±22 | 85% ±29 | 92% ±32 | 10h | 1.49% | 1.27% | 116 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 109,016.11 (+0.6%) | 0.6 | 2.6% | 17h | 2.7d ago · 76× | 78% ±29 | 43% ±22 | 9% ±12 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 54% ±14 | 79% ±28 | 87% ±39 | 96% | 2h | 1.36% | 0.90% | 50 → 1 | |
| at post · 108,337.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 108,182.22 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.0% | 1.2d | 2.7d ago · 85× | 92% ±17 | 45% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 67% ±13 | 93% ±17 | 96% ±21 | 96% | 1h | 1.09% | 0.61% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 106,310.24 (-1.9%) | 1.9 | 1.3% | 7h | 1.7d ago · 57× | 64% ±26 | 35% ±21 | 9% ±12 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 22% ±9 | 64% ±26 | 71% ±44 | 78% ±58 | 13h | 0.65% | 1.69% | 80 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 104,479.54 (-3.6%) | 3.6 | 0.6% | 1h | 22.0d ago · 37× | 19% ±18 | 21% ±24 | 7% ±15 | 71% ±27 | 11 | 4% ±4 | 19% ±18 | 42% ±39 | 52% ±57 | 6.1d | 0.82% | 1.99% | 111 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 108,337.8 | 103,456.95 | 111,456.53 | expired | -1.17% |