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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-11-03 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.11) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 116,331.7–118,553.98 (+9.1%) | 12 | 0.3% | 38m | 1.3d ago · 54× | 5% ±7 | 46% ±21 | 21% ±17 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 24% ±24 | 52% ±44 | 6.8d | 1.80% | 0.56% | 219 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 115,344.02 (+8.2%) | 11 | 2.5% | 18h | 7.5d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±12 | 19% ±27 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 350 → 8 | |
| 14D VAH | 112,058.92 (+5.1%) | 6.9 | 3.3% | 19h | 3.0d ago · 67× | 17% ±12 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 17% ±12 | 36% ±26 | 54% ±40 | 6.3d | 1.12% | 0.94% | 236 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 111,656.84 (+4.7%) | 6.4 | 4.3% | 1.6d | 3.3d ago · 89× | 14% ±10 | 50% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 41% ±17 | 31 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±10 | 36% ±23 | 45% ±37 | > 7d | 1.04% | 0.91% | 294 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 111,022.92 (+4.1%) | 5.6 | 5.2% | 1.8d | 2.8d ago · 71× | 24% ±17 | 45% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 4% ±3 | 23% ±17 | 44% ±34 | 56% ±56 | 3.8d | 1.33% | 0.64% | 141 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 110,094.56–110,119.89 (+3.2%) | 4.4 | 4.4% | 2.0d | 2.8d ago · 117× | 22% ±17 | 49% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 39% ±15 | 39 | 4% ±3 | 22% ±17 | 51% ±35 | 67% ±53 | 3.0d | 1.58% | 0.74% | 144 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 107,442.58–113,121.74 (+0.7%) | 1.0 | 2.7% | 17h | 1.7d ago · 79× | 78% ±17 | 49% ±17 | 11% ±10 | 41% ±17 | 34 | 60% ±8 | 78% ±17 | 89% ±21 | 94% ±26 | 2h | 1.49% | 1.32% | 140 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 107,183.63 (+0.5%) | 0.7 | 2.0% | 18h | 1.4d ago · 51× | 68% ±37 | 39% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 45% ±16 | 68% ±37 | 85% ±49 | 98% | 6h | 1.11% | 0.87% | 38 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 106,700.66 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.3% | 24h | 2.7d ago · 76× | 88% ±29 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 79% ±14 | 88% ±29 | 91% ±40 | 97% | 1h | 1.46% | 0.96% | 31 → 1 | |
| at post · 106,644 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 106,454.9 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 1.6% | 10h | 22.0d ago · 37× | 89% ±31 | 21% ±24 | 7% ±15 | 71% ±27 | 11 | 74% ±17 | 89% ±31 | 89% | 96% | 1h | 0.82% | 1.99% | 25 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 106,644 | 111,022.92 | 104,854.86 | stop | -4.14% |