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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-11-07 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.11) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 116,205.29 (+12.0%) | 15 | 0.3% | 59m | 2.9d ago · 67× | 2% ±4 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±12 | 27% ±33 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.94% | 275 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 116,036.2–120,260.92 (+11.9%) | 15 | 0.5% | 1h | 1.2d ago · 54× | 2% ±4 | 48% ±21 | 20% ±17 | 32% ±19 | 22 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 21% ±23 | 43% ±43 | > 7d | 1.83% | 0.64% | 221 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 115,290.66 (+11.2%) | 14 | 2.7% | 21h | 7.4d ago · 38× | 0% ±1 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±9 | 17% ±26 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 354 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 111,190.19 (+7.2%) | 8.9 | 5.4% | 1.9d | 2.7d ago · 71× | 8% ±10 | 45% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±10 | 20% ±25 | 39% ±48 | > 7d | 1.33% | 0.64% | 177 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 109,995.84 (+6.1%) | 7.5 | 4.4% | 2.0d | 2.7d ago · 82× | 9% ±10 | 55% ±16 | 16% ±12 | 29% ±15 | 35 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±10 | 28% ±27 | 64% ±42 | 6.0d | 1.65% | 0.62% | 190 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 107,089.73–109,077.83 (+3.3%) | 4.0 | 2.6% | 1.1d | 1.6d ago · 79× | 29% ±18 | 50% ±17 | 11% ±10 | 39% ±16 | 35 | 6% ±4 | 29% ±18 | 65% ±33 | 81% ±39 | 1.7d | 1.56% | 1.28% | 152 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 106,344.19 (+2.5%) | 3.1 | 1.7% | 10h | 22.9d ago · 35× | 50% ±28 | 47% ±24 | 21% ±20 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 11% ±7 | 50% ±28 | 75% ±42 | 99% ±16 | 1.0d | 1.68% | 0.74% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 105,668.76 (+1.9%) | 2.3 | 1.1% | 3h | 3.2d ago · 89× | 50% ±20 | 50% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 41% ±17 | 31 | 17% ±6 | 50% ±20 | 65% ±33 | 68% ±53 | 1.0d | 1.04% | 0.91% | 146 → 3 | |
| at post · 103,718.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 103,436.56 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 1.3% | 10h | 1.6d ago · 57× | 83% ±24 | 35% ±19 | 8% ±11 | 58% ±20 | 23 | 67% ±13 | 83% ±24 | 87% ±38 | 93% | 2h | 0.66% | 1.88% | 52 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 101,539.15 (-2.1%) | 2.6 | 1.8% | 12h | 2.8d ago · 115× | 55% ±21 | 42% ±15 | 9% ±9 | 49% ±15 | 40 | 19% ±7 | 55% ±21 | 76% ±32 | 86% ±40 | 19h | 1.16% | 0.63% | 123 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 98,888.8 (-4.7%) | 5.7 | <0.1% | 12m | 2.4d ago · 100× | 19% ±11 | 56% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±11 | 35% ±23 | 52% ±37 | 6.5d | 1.33% | 1.14% | 279 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 103,718.4 | 109,995.84 | 101,138.19 | expired | -1.63% |