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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-11-10 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 114,980.89 (+8.2%) | 13 | 2.6% | 18h | 7.3d ago · 38× | 1% ±2 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±10 | 16% ±24 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 377 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 111,045.32 (+4.5%) | 6.9 | 4.7% | 1.6d | 2.7d ago · 71× | 15% ±13 | 45% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±13 | 28% ±28 | 45% ±49 | > 7d | 1.33% | 0.64% | 178 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 110,083.3 (+3.6%) | 5.5 | 4.0% | 1.8d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 19% ±13 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 19% ±13 | 42% ±28 | 54% ±44 | 5.1d | 1.12% | 0.94% | 223 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 106,759.93–106,934.84 (+0.5%) | 0.7 | 2.6% | 1.1d | 1.5d ago · 79× | 82% ±17 | 50% ±17 | 11% ±10 | 39% ±16 | 35 | 67% ±8 | 82% ±17 | 90% ±22 | 95% ±25 | 1h | 1.56% | 1.28% | 124 → 3 | |
| at post · 106,268 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 106,235.19 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.2% | 6h | 21.9d ago · 37× | 89% ±31 | 27% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 67% ±27 | 12 | 78% ±16 | 89% ±31 | 89% | 96% | 1h | 0.89% | 2.09% | 25 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 104,136.22–106,060.27 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 0.9% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 82% ±25 | 47% ±19 | 13% ±13 | 40% ±18 | 27 | 62% ±13 | 82% ±25 | 89% ±35 | 96% | 2h | 1.29% | 1.01% | 53 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 104,586.65 (-1.6%) | 2.4 | 1.2% | 6h | 3.2d ago · 72× | 36% ±25 | 42% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 13% ±7 | 36% ±25 | 54% ±44 | 63% ±67 | 2.4d | 1.10% | 1.28% | 85 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 101,902.08–101,949.8 (-4.1%) | 6.2 | 2.0% | 22h | 2.5d ago · 115× | 18% ±15 | 43% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±15 | 41 | 3% ±3 | 18% ±15 | 41% ±34 | 58% ±56 | 4.5d | 1.10% | 0.62% | 144 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 100,203.69 (-5.7%) | 8.8 | 0.8% | 2h | 2.4d ago · 100× | 10% ±9 | 56% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 0% ±1 | 10% ±9 | 25% ±23 | 43% ±40 | > 7d | 1.33% | 1.14% | 257 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 99,413.54 (-6.5%) | 9.9 | 0.3% | 54m | 1.5d ago · 57× | 7% ±7 | 33% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 59% ±20 | 24 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 20% ±19 | 37% ±36 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.93% | 292 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 106,268 | 111,045.32 | 104,660.96 | stop | -0.16% |