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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-11-10 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 114,980.89 (+8.5%) | 12 | 2.8% | 19h | 7.3d ago · 38× | 1% ±2 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±10 | 16% ±24 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 380 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 111,045.32 (+4.8%) | 6.9 | 4.9% | 1.7d | 2.7d ago · 71× | 15% ±13 | 45% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±13 | 28% ±28 | 45% ±49 | > 7d | 1.33% | 0.64% | 182 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 109,887.52 (+3.7%) | 5.3 | 3.8% | 1.6d | 2.9d ago · 67× | 20% ±13 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 20% ±13 | 44% ±28 | 56% ±43 | 4.8d | 1.12% | 0.94% | 220 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 106,585.02–106,934.84 (+0.6%) | 0.9 | 2.6% | 20h | 1.5d ago · 79× | 80% ±16 | 50% ±17 | 11% ±10 | 39% ±16 | 35 | 64% ±8 | 80% ±16 | 89% ±22 | 94% ±26 | 2h | 1.56% | 1.28% | 139 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 106,060.27 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 1.4% | 9h | 22.9d ago · 35× | 84% ±32 | 47% ±24 | 21% ±20 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 67% ±17 | 85% ±31 | 97% ±24 | 97% | 1h | 1.68% | 0.74% | 31 → 1 | |
| at post · 105,931.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 104,136.22–105,885.36 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.3% | 6h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 88% ±23 | 47% ±19 | 13% ±13 | 40% ±18 | 27 | 72% ±13 | 88% ±23 | 94% ±27 | 98% | 1h | 1.29% | 1.01% | 48 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 104,523.52 (-1.3%) | 1.9 | 1.3% | 7h | 3.3d ago · 72× | 42% ±28 | 42% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 17% ±9 | 41% ±28 | 56% ±49 | 67% ±65 | 1.7d | 1.10% | 1.28% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 101,552.55–101,847.03 (-3.9%) | 5.5 | 2.3% | 1.1d | 2.5d ago · 115× | 22% ±16 | 43% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±15 | 41 | 3% ±3 | 22% ±16 | 46% ±35 | 62% ±47 | 4.1d | 1.10% | 0.62% | 152 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 100,297.48 (-5.3%) | 7.6 | 1.0% | 3h | 2.4d ago · 100× | 13% ±10 | 56% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±10 | 26% ±22 | 46% ±37 | > 7d | 1.33% | 1.14% | 278 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 99,404.37 (-6.2%) | 8.8 | 0.3% | 57m | 1.5d ago · 57× | 8% ±8 | 33% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 59% ±20 | 24 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 22% ±21 | 40% ±36 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.93% | 274 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | short | 105,931.2 | 97,010.59 | 111,045.32 | expired | +0.77% |