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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-11-10 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 114,805.97 (+8.4%) | 12 | 2.6% | 16h | 7.3d ago · 38× | 1% ±2 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±10 | 16% ±24 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 381 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 111,045.32 (+4.8%) | 6.9 | 4.8% | 1.6d | 2.7d ago · 71× | 15% ±13 | 45% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±12 | 28% ±28 | 44% ±49 | > 7d | 1.33% | 0.64% | 183 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 109,715.67 (+3.5%) | 5.1 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 2.9d ago · 67× | 21% ±13 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±13 | 46% ±28 | 56% ±43 | 4.5d | 1.12% | 0.94% | 222 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 106,585.02–106,934.84 (+0.6%) | 0.9 | 2.6% | 21h | 1.5d ago · 79× | 79% ±17 | 50% ±17 | 11% ±10 | 39% ±16 | 35 | 63% ±8 | 79% ±17 | 89% ±22 | 94% ±27 | 2h | 1.56% | 1.28% | 139 → 3 | |
| at post · 105,956.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 105,710.45 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 1.5% | 7h | 21.9d ago · 37× | 90% ±26 | 27% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 67% ±27 | 12 | 76% ±15 | 91% ±25 | 91% ±40 | 97% | 1h | 0.89% | 2.09% | 31 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 104,660.96–105,535.53 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 1.3% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 78% ±26 | 47% ±19 | 13% ±13 | 40% ±18 | 27 | 59% ±12 | 79% ±24 | 90% ±30 | 96% ±29 | 3h | 1.29% | 1.01% | 67 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 104,253.98 (-1.6%) | 2.3 | 1.2% | 7h | 3.3d ago · 72× | 38% ±25 | 42% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 14% ±7 | 41% ±25 | 56% ±44 | 66% ±66 | 1.9d | 1.10% | 1.28% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 101,552.55–101,864.8 (-3.9%) | 5.5 | 2.3% | 1.1d | 2.5d ago · 115× | 22% ±16 | 43% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±15 | 41 | 3% ±3 | 22% ±16 | 45% ±33 | 61% ±48 | 4.2d | 1.12% | 0.61% | 156 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 100,313.93 (-5.3%) | 7.6 | 1.0% | 3h | 2.4d ago · 100× | 13% ±10 | 56% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±10 | 26% ±22 | 46% ±37 | > 7d | 1.33% | 1.14% | 279 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 99,748.08 (-5.9%) | 8.4 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.5d ago · 57× | 8% ±8 | 33% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 59% ±20 | 24 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 22% ±21 | 40% ±39 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.93% | 264 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 105,956.7 | 111,045.32 | 104,073.25 | stop | -3.00% |