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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-11-12 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 113,756.49 (+9.3%) | 16 | 1.1% | 8h | 7.3d ago · 38× | 0% ±1 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±9 | 15% ±25 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 350 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 111,045.32 (+6.7%) | 11 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 2.7d ago · 71× | 7% ±9 | 45% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±9 | 14% ±22 | 34% ±46 | > 7d | 1.33% | 0.64% | 172 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 108,299.49 (+4.0%) | 6.9 | 2.9% | 17h | 2.9d ago · 67× | 15% ±11 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±11 | 33% ±25 | 49% ±40 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.94% | 259 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 106,410.1–106,934.84 (+2.2%) | 3.8 | 2.1% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 79× | 29% ±18 | 53% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 6% ±4 | 29% ±17 | 65% ±31 | 86% ±34 | 1.7d | 1.64% | 1.17% | 157 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 104,826.12 (+0.7%) | 1.2 | 1.3% | 6h | 3.2d ago · 89× | 73% ±20 | 49% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 43% ±17 | 32 | 49% ±9 | 73% ±20 | 79% ±30 | 80% ±45 | 5h | 1.02% | 0.93% | 121 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 104,136.22 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.2% | 7h | 22.9d ago · 35× | 91% ±26 | 50% ±24 | 20% ±19 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 71% ±16 | 88% ±28 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 1h | 1.69% | 0.71% | 32 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 104,136.22–104,311.13 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.2% | 7h | 9.3d ago · 53× | 88% ±29 | 46% ±20 | 19% ±16 | 35% ±19 | 23 | 80% ±14 | 89% ±25 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 1h | 1.80% | 0.72% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 104,100 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 103,226.54–103,295.48 (-0.8%) | 1.3 | 1.8% | 16h | 2.5d ago · 115× | 80% ±17 | 43% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±15 | 41 | 47% ±8 | 78% ±17 | 89% ±23 | 93% ±29 | 5h | 1.12% | 0.61% | 134 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 102,387.08–102,561.99 (-1.5%) | 2.5 | 1.2% | 9h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 44% ±24 | 47% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 41% ±18 | 29 | 20% ±8 | 44% ±24 | 66% ±38 | 85% ±50 | 1.6d | 1.29% | 1.19% | 102 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 100,689.27 (-3.3%) | 5.6 | 1.2% | 4h | 2.4d ago · 100× | 18% ±11 | 56% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±11 | 34% ±23 | 52% ±37 | 6.5d | 1.33% | 1.14% | 304 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 100,212.18 (-3.7%) | 6.4 | 0.7% | 2h | 1.5d ago · 57× | 10% ±9 | 33% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 59% ±20 | 24 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±9 | 26% ±23 | 44% ±40 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.93% | 254 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 104,100 | 104,826.12 | 100,689.27 | target | -0.45% |
| 14d | POC | long | 104,100 | 108,299.49 | 100,212.18 | expired | -0.45% |