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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-11-12 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 113,581.58 (+12.0%) | 17 | 1.6% | 12h | 7.3d ago · 38× | 0% ±2 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±9 | 16% ±25 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 323 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 113,581.58–114,980.89 (+12.0%) | 17 | 1.6% | 12h | 9.3d ago · 53× | 2% ±4 | 48% ±20 | 19% ±16 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 16% ±22 | 35% ±42 | > 7d | 1.83% | 0.64% | 193 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 111,045.32 (+9.5%) | 14 | 4.5% | 1.5d | 2.7d ago · 71× | 3% ±7 | 45% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 9% ±19 | 29% ±44 | > 7d | 1.33% | 0.64% | 147 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 107,779.26 (+6.3%) | 9.1 | 3.8% | 1.0d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 9% ±8 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±8 | 18% ±18 | 38% ±34 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.94% | 322 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 106,410.1–106,934.84 (+4.9%) | 7.1 | 2.4% | 15h | 1.5d ago · 79× | 13% ±13 | 53% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±13 | 38% ±34 | 71% ±44 | 4.5d | 1.64% | 1.17% | 152 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 105,322.54 (+3.9%) | 5.6 | 1.6% | 8h | 3.2d ago · 89× | 16% ±10 | 49% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 43% ±17 | 32 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±10 | 39% ±23 | 47% ±35 | > 7d | 1.02% | 0.93% | 318 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 104,311.13 (+2.9%) | 4.1 | 1.6% | 9h | 22.9d ago · 35× | 35% ±25 | 52% ±23 | 19% ±18 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 6% ±5 | 35% ±25 | 69% ±41 | 99% ±15 | 1.7d | 1.81% | 0.68% | 81 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 103,295.48 (+1.9%) | 2.7 | 2.2% | 19h | 3.0d ago · 117× | 47% ±23 | 45% ±15 | 9% ±9 | 45% ±15 | 41 | 18% ±7 | 47% ±23 | 63% ±39 | 72% ±51 | 1.2d | 1.53% | 0.84% | 107 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 101,961.24 (+0.6%) | 0.8 | 2.3% | 23h | 2.7d ago · 82× | 84% ±16 | 55% ±16 | 16% ±12 | 29% ±15 | 35 | 67% ±9 | 84% ±16 | 92% ±21 | 93% ±28 | 2h | 1.65% | 0.62% | 117 → 3 | |
| at post · 101,393.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 101,268.43 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 1.7% | 9h | 2.4d ago · 100× | 85% ±20 | 56% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 68% ±11 | 85% ±20 | 90% ±29 | 93% ±35 | 1h | 1.33% | 1.14% | 71 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 100,196.22 (-1.2%) | 1.7 | 0.8% | 2h | 1.5d ago · 57× | 71% ±23 | 33% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 59% ±20 | 24 | 31% ±10 | 71% ±23 | 79% ±36 | 86% ±48 | 10h | 0.65% | 1.93% | 89 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 101,393.1 | 100,196.22 | 107,779.26 | expired | +0.80% |