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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-11-13 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 113,581.58 (+11.6%) | 17 | 1.6% | 12h | 7.3d ago · 38× | 0% ±1 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±9 | 15% ±25 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 341 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 111,045.32 (+9.1%) | 13 | 4.5% | 1.5d | 2.7d ago · 71× | 3% ±7 | 45% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 9% ±19 | 30% ±45 | > 7d | 1.33% | 0.64% | 155 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 107,381.92 (+5.5%) | 7.9 | 2.5% | 14h | 2.9d ago · 67× | 12% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±9 | 25% ±21 | 42% ±37 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.94% | 296 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 106,410.1–106,934.84 (+4.5%) | 6.5 | 2.4% | 15h | 1.5d ago · 79× | 18% ±15 | 53% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±14 | 43% ±32 | 76% ±42 | 4.2d | 1.64% | 1.17% | 162 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 104,908.85 (+3.0%) | 4.4 | 1.9% | 11h | 3.2d ago · 89× | 24% ±13 | 49% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 43% ±17 | 32 | 3% ±2 | 24% ±13 | 51% ±25 | 57% ±40 | 2.6d | 1.02% | 0.93% | 269 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 104,311.13 (+2.5%) | 3.5 | 1.6% | 9h | 22.9d ago · 35× | 44% ±27 | 52% ±23 | 19% ±18 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 7% ±6 | 45% ±26 | 72% ±39 | 99% ±15 | 1.2d | 1.81% | 0.68% | 82 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 101,888.95 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.6% | 1.1d | 3.0d ago · 117× | 90% ±15 | 45% ±15 | 9% ±9 | 45% ±15 | 41 | 76% ±8 | 90% ±15 | 94% ±19 | 96% ±27 | 1h | 1.53% | 0.84% | 103 → 2 | |
| at post · 101,813.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 101,614.2 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.7% | 24h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 94% ±15 | 47% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 41% ±18 | 29 | 69% ±11 | 94% ±14 | 97% ±17 | 97% ±24 | 1h | 1.08% | 0.63% | 63 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 100,689.27 (-1.1%) | 1.6 | 1.4% | 5h | 2.4d ago · 100× | 63% ±19 | 56% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 28% ±7 | 63% ±19 | 79% ±28 | 84% ±41 | 11h | 1.33% | 1.14% | 143 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 100,156.43 (-1.6%) | 2.3 | 0.8% | 2h | 1.5d ago · 57× | 50% ±24 | 33% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 59% ±20 | 24 | 15% ±7 | 50% ±24 | 67% ±38 | 75% ±60 | 23h | 0.65% | 1.93% | 103 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 101,813.1 | 107,381.92 | 100,156.43 | stop | -2.82% |