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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-11-13 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 113,056.83 (+9.1%) | 11 | 1.9% | 15h | 7.3d ago · 38× | 1% ±2 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±10 | 17% ±24 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 392 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 111,045.32 (+7.2%) | 8.8 | 5.3% | 1.8d | 2.7d ago · 71× | 7% ±9 | 45% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 0% ±1 | 7% ±9 | 17% ±22 | 33% ±41 | > 7d | 1.33% | 0.64% | 201 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 106,912.53 (+3.2%) | 3.9 | 3.5% | 1.5d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 22% ±15 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 4% ±3 | 21% ±15 | 53% ±31 | 58% ±48 | 2.8d | 1.12% | 0.94% | 171 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 106,410.1–106,934.84 (+2.7%) | 3.3 | 2.9% | 19h | 1.5d ago · 79× | 36% ±18 | 53% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 9% ±5 | 36% ±18 | 70% ±30 | 88% ±32 | 1.4d | 1.64% | 1.17% | 157 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 104,826.12 (+1.1%) | 1.4 | 2.3% | 12h | 3.2d ago · 89× | 68% ±20 | 49% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 43% ±17 | 32 | 38% ±9 | 69% ±20 | 79% ±30 | 81% ±45 | 10h | 1.02% | 0.93% | 123 → 3 | |
| at post · 103,635.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 103,611.48 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.7% | 19h | 21.9d ago · 37× | 91% ±26 | 29% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 65% ±25 | 14 | 81% ±14 | 91% ±26 | 91% ±40 | 97% | 1h | 0.97% | 2.09% | 30 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 101,687.42–102,037.25 (-1.5%) | 1.9 | 3.1% | 1.2d | 2.7d ago · 98× | 68% ±21 | 55% ±14 | 18% ±11 | 27% ±13 | 46 | 24% ±8 | 68% ±21 | 83% ±30 | 83% ±42 | 10h | 1.06% | 0.69% | 112 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 101,888.95–101,913.13 (-1.7%) | 2.0 | 3.3% | 1.4d | 2.5d ago · 115× | 68% ±22 | 43% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±15 | 41 | 30% ±8 | 70% ±21 | 85% ±29 | 92% ±30 | 10h | 1.12% | 0.61% | 111 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 100,689.27 (-2.8%) | 3.5 | 1.7% | 6h | 2.4d ago · 100× | 33% ±14 | 56% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 8% ±3 | 33% ±14 | 52% ±26 | 64% ±38 | 2.8d | 1.33% | 1.14% | 257 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 100,246.66 (-3.3%) | 4.0 | 1.1% | 3h | 1.5d ago · 57× | 21% ±15 | 33% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 59% ±20 | 24 | 6% ±4 | 21% ±15 | 40% ±32 | 55% ±49 | 4.1d | 0.65% | 1.93% | 166 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 103,635.1 | 111,045.32 | 101,911.31 | stop | -6.08% |