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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-11-13 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 111,832.44 (+11.2%) | 13 | 2.1% | 15h | 7.3d ago · 38× | 1% ±2 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 15% ±23 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 393 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 110,870.41 (+10.2%) | 12 | 5.0% | 1.8d | 2.7d ago · 71× | 5% ±8 | 45% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 12% ±20 | 31% ±45 | > 7d | 1.33% | 0.64% | 172 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 106,418.76 (+5.8%) | 6.8 | 3.0% | 19h | 2.9d ago · 67× | 15% ±11 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±11 | 33% ±24 | 49% ±40 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.94% | 262 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 104,826.12 (+4.2%) | 4.9 | 2.4% | 13h | 3.2d ago · 89× | 20% ±11 | 47% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 44% ±17 | 33 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±11 | 44% ±24 | 51% ±37 | 6.7d | 1.04% | 0.96% | 297 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 102,561.99 (+2.0%) | 2.3 | 2.3% | 16h | 22.9d ago · 35× | 59% ±27 | 50% ±22 | 18% ±17 | 32% ±21 | 19 | 16% ±8 | 59% ±27 | 85% ±35 | 99% ±15 | 19h | 1.94% | 0.71% | 79 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 101,888.95–101,913.13 (+1.3%) | 1.5 | 3.7% | 1.5d | 2.7d ago · 117× | 69% ±20 | 50% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 38% ±15 | 41 | 37% ±9 | 69% ±20 | 83% ±28 | 88% ±37 | 9h | 1.59% | 0.74% | 117 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 101,512.51–102,037.25 (+0.9%) | 1.1 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 1.5d ago · 79× | 76% ±17 | 53% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 56% ±8 | 76% ±17 | 88% ±22 | 94% ±27 | 3h | 1.64% | 1.17% | 146 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 100,689.27 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.9% | 7h | 2.5d ago · 76× | 91% ±21 | 48% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 44% ±20 | 24 | 83% ±11 | 91% ±21 | 93% ±34 | 98% | 1h | 1.63% | 1.00% | 44 → 1 | |
| at post · 100,580.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 100,246.66 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 1.1% | 3h | 1.5d ago · 57× | 84% ±24 | 33% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 59% ±20 | 24 | 65% ±13 | 84% ±24 | 88% ±37 | 93% | 2h | 0.65% | 1.93% | 55 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 100,580.2 | 96,443.35 | 101,888.95 | target | +3.59% |