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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-11-15 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.11) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 111,670.91 (+17.2%) | 26 | 1.3% | 17h | 7.4d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±13 | 10% ±30 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 151 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 107,746.5 (+13.1%) | 20 | 3.1% | 21h | 2.7d ago · 71× | 2% ±8 | 45% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 7% ±23 | 14% ±47 | > 7d | 1.33% | 0.64% | 88 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 106,900.75 (+12.2%) | 18 | 2.6% | 1.2d | 2.9d ago · 67× | 1% ±3 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±10 | 21% ±32 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.94% | 251 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 103,688.46 (+8.9%) | 13 | 2.0% | 14h | 3.2d ago · 89× | 6% ±8 | 47% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 44% ±17 | 33 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 15% ±20 | 29% ±40 | > 7d | 1.04% | 0.96% | 217 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 101,981.36 (+7.1%) | 11 | 2.5% | 24h | 2.7d ago · 82× | 4% ±7 | 54% ±16 | 15% ±12 | 31% ±15 | 36 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 14% ±21 | 51% ±49 | 7.0d | 1.68% | 0.65% | 176 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 101,355.32 (+6.4%) | 9.7 | 2.1% | 12h | 22.9d ago · 35× | 17% ±30 | 52% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±5 | 16% ±29 | 73% ±61 | 98% | 2.3d | 1.97% | 0.68% | 38 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 101,355.32–102,252.32 (+6.4%) | 9.7 | 2.1% | 12h | 1.6d ago · 79× | 8% ±10 | 53% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±10 | 27% ±28 | 54% ±49 | 6.2d | 1.64% | 1.17% | 171 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 99,478.52 (+4.4%) | 6.7 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 51× | 22% ±23 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 2% ±3 | 22% ±22 | 56% ±44 | 96% ±26 | 2.8d | 1.16% | 0.76% | 84 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 96,646.02–99,337.05 (+1.5%) | 2.2 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 54× | 67% ±27 | 48% ±20 | 19% ±16 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 26% ±10 | 68% ±26 | 83% ±37 | 87% ±47 | 13h | 1.83% | 0.64% | 72 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 95,915.21 (+0.7%) | 1.1 | 1.1% | 9h | 3.1d ago · 117× | 82% ±15 | 44% ±15 | 9% ±9 | 47% ±15 | 42 | 61% ±8 | 82% ±15 | 91% ±20 | 93% ±29 | 2h | 1.55% | 0.86% | 146 → 3 | |
| at post · 95,249.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 94,495.75 (-0.8%) | 1.2 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.4d ago · 100× | 73% ±17 | 57% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 37 | 41% ±8 | 73% ±17 | 84% ±25 | 89% ±30 | 7h | 1.38% | 1.27% | 148 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 95,249.5 | 94,495.75 | 103,688.46 | target | +1.26% |