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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-11-17 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 111,923.29 (+17.5%) | 21 | 1.1% | 5h | 7.3d ago · 38× | 0% ±2 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 14% ±27 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 264 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 110,163.99 (+15.7%) | 19 | 3.8% | 1.8d | 2.7d ago · 71× | 2% ±7 | 45% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 7% ±20 | 16% ±41 | > 7d | 1.33% | 0.64% | 108 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 107,307.69 (+12.7%) | 15 | 2.3% | 15h | 2.9d ago · 67× | 1% ±3 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±10 | 23% ±31 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.94% | 296 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 103,108.43 (+8.2%) | 9.9 | 3.0% | 1.0d | 3.2d ago · 89× | 9% ±8 | 47% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 44% ±17 | 33 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±8 | 19% ±19 | 32% ±34 | > 7d | 1.04% | 0.96% | 295 → 7 | |
| 14D POC | 101,976.82 (+7.1%) | 8.5 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 2.7d ago · 82× | 5% ±7 | 54% ±16 | 15% ±12 | 31% ±15 | 36 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 20% ±24 | 52% ±44 | 6.9d | 1.68% | 0.65% | 197 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 101,367.46–102,305.76 (+6.4%) | 7.7 | 2.7% | 15h | 1.5d ago · 79× | 11% ±11 | 53% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±11 | 32% ±29 | 64% ±47 | 4.9d | 1.64% | 1.17% | 176 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 100,663.74 (+5.7%) | 6.8 | 1.9% | 6h | 22.9d ago · 35× | 11% ±19 | 52% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 1% ±3 | 11% ±19 | 58% ±48 | 99% ±16 | 2.7d | 1.97% | 0.68% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 99,353.69 (+4.3%) | 5.2 | 0.9% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 51× | 22% ±19 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±3 | 22% ±18 | 53% ±40 | 96% ±22 | 2.8d | 1.16% | 0.76% | 115 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 96,675.98–99,490.87 (+1.5%) | 1.8 | 1.0% | 4h | 9.3d ago · 53× | 70% ±26 | 46% ±20 | 21% ±16 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 28% ±10 | 72% ±26 | 85% ±35 | 90% ±42 | 11h | 1.87% | 0.56% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 95,905.73 (+0.7%) | 0.8 | 1.8% | 17h | 3.0d ago · 117× | 85% ±14 | 44% ±15 | 9% ±9 | 47% ±15 | 42 | 64% ±8 | 86% ±14 | 93% ±18 | 95% ±22 | 2h | 1.55% | 0.86% | 150 → 4 | |
| at post · 95,254.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 93,213.82 (-2.1%) | 2.6 | 0.2% | 39m | 2.4d ago · 100× | 45% ±17 | 57% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 37 | 16% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 66% ±27 | 74% ±38 | 1.3d | 1.38% | 1.27% | 208 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 95,254.4 | 95,905.73 | 91,432.79 | target | -3.29% |