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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-11-20 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 115,512.29 (+31.5%) | 30 | 1.0% | 8h | 7.3d ago · 38× | 1% ±4 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 4% ±15 | 11% ±35 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 126 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 110,160.21 (+25.4%) | 25 | 3.4% | 1.9d | 2.7d ago · 71× | 2% ±9 | 45% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 6% ±26 | 6% | > 7d | 1.33% | 0.64% | 60 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 101,867.06 (+15.9%) | 15 | 3.6% | 1.5d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 1% ±3 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±9 | 21% ±28 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.94% | 319 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 98,443.48 (+12.1%) | 12 | 0.6% | 2h | 22.9d ago · 35× | 10% ±21 | 52% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 2% ±4 | 10% ±19 | 42% ±56 | 53% | 3.8d | 1.97% | 0.68% | 52 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 96,707.66–99,600.68 (+10.1%) | 9.7 | 1.0% | 4h | 9.3d ago · 53× | 6% ±8 | 50% ±19 | 20% ±15 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 26% ±25 | 51% ±44 | 6.6d | 1.89% | 0.56% | 213 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 95,844.37 (+9.1%) | 8.8 | 2.2% | 22h | 3.2d ago · 89× | 10% ±8 | 47% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 44% ±17 | 33 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±8 | 23% ±19 | 33% ±33 | > 7d | 1.04% | 0.96% | 342 → 8 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 91,513.94–91,554.86 (+4.2%) | 4.0 | 2.5% | 15h | 2.7d ago · 117× | 23% ±16 | 49% ±15 | 12% ±9 | 40% ±14 | 44 | 5% ±3 | 23% ±16 | 46% ±33 | 59% ±48 | 3.4d | 1.62% | 0.74% | 167 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 91,210.93–91,789.53 (+3.8%) | 3.7 | 2.1% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 79× | 28% ±16 | 53% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 7% ±4 | 28% ±16 | 59% ±31 | 77% ±41 | 1.9d | 1.64% | 1.17% | 177 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 89,182.17 (+1.5%) | 1.5 | 0.7% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 76× | 68% ±25 | 48% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 32% ±10 | 68% ±25 | 77% ±41 | 93% ±36 | 11h | 1.63% | 1.00% | 76 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 88,451.19 (+0.7%) | 0.7 | 0.2% | 24m | 1.2d ago · 51× | 67% ±33 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 47% ±14 | 66% ±33 | 85% ±40 | 98% | 6h | 1.16% | 0.76% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 87,855.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 87,855.5 | 81,193.3 | 91,513.94 | target | +3.38% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 87,855.5 | 74,439.62 | 91,554.86 | expired | +3.38% |