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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-11-23 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 115,664.6 (+34.3%) | 49 | 0.4% | 2h | 7.3d ago · 38× | 2% ±10 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 6% ±27 | 15% | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 56 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 101,531.42 (+17.9%) | 26 | 2.1% | 18h | 2.7d ago · 71× | 2% ±8 | 45% ±19 | 14% ±13 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 3% ±18 | 3% ±25 | > 7d | 1.33% | 0.64% | 63 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 99,949.06 (+16.1%) | 23 | 0.7% | 2h | 2.9d ago · 67× | 0% ±2 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 14% ±30 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.94% | 215 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 96,120 (+11.6%) | 17 | 1.2% | 11h | 3.2d ago · 89× | 2% ±6 | 47% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 44% ±17 | 33 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 10% ±19 | 21% ±40 | > 7d | 1.04% | 0.96% | 168 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 93,480.87 (+8.6%) | 12 | 0.5% | 3h | 22.9d ago · 35× | 9% ±18 | 52% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±17 | 28% ±51 | 33% | > 7d | 1.97% | 0.68% | 61 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 91,483.85–91,560 (+6.3%) | 9.0 | 1.6% | 10h | 2.7d ago · 117× | 3% ±6 | 49% ±15 | 12% ±9 | 40% ±14 | 44 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 18% ±21 | 43% ±40 | > 7d | 1.62% | 0.74% | 233 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 90,976.26–92,407.47 (+5.7%) | 8.1 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.5d ago · 79× | 9% ±10 | 53% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±9 | 26% ±26 | 52% ±44 | 6.5d | 1.64% | 1.17% | 204 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 86,682.63–89,187.25 (+0.7%) | 1.0 | 0.6% | 2h | 9.3d ago · 53× | 75% ±22 | 48% ±19 | 23% ±15 | 29% ±17 | 28 | 51% ±10 | 77% ±21 | 86% ±30 | 88% ±44 | 4h | 1.99% | 0.53% | 98 → 2 | |
| at post · 86,100 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 85,400 (-0.8%) | 1.2 | 0.6% | 2h | 2.4d ago · 100× | 75% ±16 | 57% ±15 | 9% ±9 | 34% ±15 | 41 | 42% ±8 | 75% ±16 | 86% ±23 | 91% ±28 | 7h | 1.38% | 1.52% | 163 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 83,820.22–84,535.82 (-1.8%) | 2.6 | 1.3% | 10h | 2.8d ago · 98× | 59% ±22 | 56% ±14 | 18% ±11 | 26% ±13 | 47 | 15% ±6 | 59% ±21 | 75% ±32 | 78% ±47 | 17h | 1.14% | 0.69% | 123 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 83,556.11 (-3.0%) | 4.2 | 0.8% | 2h | 1.5d ago · 57× | 21% ±15 | 32% ±18 | 7% ±10 | 61% ±19 | 25 | 6% ±3 | 21% ±15 | 42% ±31 | 56% ±49 | 4.0d | 0.63% | 1.97% | 181 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 86,100 | 91,560 | 83,470.4 | expired | +0.95% |