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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-14 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 94,525.41 (+5.8%) | 18 | 0.4% | 2h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 0% ±1 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 11% ±20 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 409 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH | 93,262.72 (+4.3%) | 13 | 1.0% | 7h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 3% ±4 | 55% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 7% ±11 | 23% ±26 | > 7d | 1.38% | 0.91% | 404 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 92,426.23 (+3.4%) | 10 | 1.9% | 17h | 3.0d ago · 89× | 8% ±7 | 50% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 43% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 20% ±18 | 32% ±30 | > 7d | 1.19% | 1.02% | 360 → 9 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 90,193.56–90,263.13 (+0.9%) | 2.8 | 2.4% | 1.2d | 2.5d ago · 117× | 39% ±20 | 44% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 44% ±14 | 49 | 12% ±5 | 39% ±20 | 65% ±33 | 73% ±50 | 1.6d | 1.43% | 0.80% | 135 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 89,542.09 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 1.4% | 16h | 2.3d ago · 76× | 83% ±21 | 48% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 45% ±18 | 30 | 62% ±11 | 83% ±21 | 89% ±30 | 96% ±27 | 2h | 1.63% | 1.08% | 74 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 89,492.13–93,015.42 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 1.4% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 79× | 85% ±15 | 50% ±15 | 14% ±11 | 36% ±15 | 41 | 73% ±8 | 85% ±15 | 92% ±20 | 94% ±26 | 1h | 1.56% | 1.17% | 123 → 3 | |
| at post · 89,382.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 89,278.19 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 1.1% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 57× | 76% ±25 | 34% ±17 | 9% ±11 | 56% ±18 | 29 | 60% ±12 | 76% ±25 | 82% ±37 | 87% ±47 | 2h | 0.89% | 1.88% | 66 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 86,472.16–87,143.26 (-2.5%) | 7.7 | 1.4% | 9h | 2.5d ago · 98× | 18% ±12 | 57% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 25% ±12 | 53 | 2% ±2 | 18% ±12 | 38% ±27 | 49% ±44 | > 7d | 1.26% | 0.69% | 223 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,807.71 (-2.9%) | 8.9 | 1.5% | 11h | 21.7d ago · 37× | 6% ±6 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 13% ±15 | 27% ±31 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 335 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 89,382.9 | 90,193.56 | 88,560.97 | stop | +0.31% |