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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-15 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 94,520–95,160 (+5.5%) | 9.2 | 0.6% | 2h | 9.1d ago · 53× | 4% ±6 | 51% ±17 | 23% ±15 | 26% ±15 | 32 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 20% ±20 | 40% ±39 | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.59% | 272 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 93,880 (+4.7%) | 8.0 | 1.2% | 5h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 4% ±5 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 12% ±14 | 21% ±27 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 378 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 93,155.03 (+3.9%) | 6.6 | 2.1% | 14h | 2.7d ago · 67× | 18% ±10 | 55% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 2% ±2 | 18% ±10 | 37% ±22 | 53% ±35 | 6.3d | 1.38% | 0.91% | 326 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 92,439.79 (+3.1%) | 5.3 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 3.0d ago · 89× | 18% ±10 | 50% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 43% ±16 | 39 | 2% ±2 | 18% ±10 | 40% ±21 | 49% ±33 | > 7d | 1.19% | 1.02% | 360 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 91,240 (+1.8%) | 3.0 | 4.3% | 1.6d | 2.5d ago · 71× | 39% ±20 | 43% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 43% ±17 | 34 | 12% ±5 | 39% ±20 | 72% ±33 | 76% ±48 | 1.5d | 1.38% | 0.81% | 133 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 90,193.56–90,218.82 (+0.6%) | 1.1 | 4.3% | 2.1d | 2.5d ago · 117× | 83% ±14 | 45% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 43% ±14 | 50 | 60% ±8 | 82% ±14 | 91% ±19 | 92% ±26 | 3h | 1.49% | 0.79% | 163 → 4 | |
| at post · 89,631.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 89,170.5–89,266.98 (-0.4%) | 0.7 | 2.2% | 21h | 1.3d ago · 100× | 77% ±17 | 51% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 40% ±14 | 47 | 50% ±8 | 77% ±17 | 87% ±23 | 92% ±31 | 4h | 1.26% | 1.50% | 141 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 86,680–87,160 (-2.8%) | 4.7 | 2.6% | 17h | 2.6d ago · 98× | 32% ±16 | 57% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 25% ±12 | 53 | 4% ±3 | 32% ±16 | 52% ±30 | 68% ±41 | 2.8d | 1.26% | 0.69% | 200 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,840 (-3.1%) | 5.3 | 2.8% | 20h | 21.7d ago · 37× | 11% ±11 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±11 | 26% ±26 | 46% ±44 | > 7d | 0.96% | 2.19% | 206 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 89,631.2 | 90,218.82 | 88,695.87 | stop | -4.27% |