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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-15 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 94,680–95,160 (+9.6%) | 13 | 0.5% | 2h | 9.1d ago · 53× | 2% ±3 | 51% ±17 | 23% ±15 | 26% ±15 | 32 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±16 | 31% ±32 | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.59% | 348 → 8 | |
| 30D VAH | 93,720 (+8.5%) | 12 | 1.4% | 7h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±2 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±9 | 14% ±21 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 461 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH | 92,932.46 (+7.6%) | 11 | 3.0% | 20h | 2.7d ago · 67× | 7% ±6 | 55% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 13% ±14 | 31% ±29 | > 7d | 1.38% | 0.91% | 415 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 92,416.25 (+7.0%) | 9.7 | 4.0% | 1.4d | 3.0d ago · 89× | 9% ±7 | 50% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 43% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 21% ±17 | 32% ±30 | > 7d | 1.19% | 1.02% | 376 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 91,240 (+5.7%) | 7.8 | 5.0% | 1.9d | 2.5d ago · 71× | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 42% ±16 | 35 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±10 | 23% ±23 | 36% ±38 | > 7d | 1.40% | 0.78% | 233 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 90,234.73–90,245.12 (+4.5%) | 6.2 | 5.0% | 2.4d | 2.5d ago · 117× | 10% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 43% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±9 | 29% ±25 | 54% ±40 | 6.0d | 1.49% | 0.79% | 238 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 89,078.91 (+3.1%) | 4.4 | 2.2% | 16h | 22.4d ago · 50× | 22% ±16 | 46% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 3% ±3 | 22% ±16 | 45% ±34 | 79% ±40 | 3.3d | 2.13% | 0.76% | 149 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 88,395.4 (+2.4%) | 3.3 | 1.4% | 7h | 2.3d ago · 76× | 37% ±22 | 50% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 44% ±17 | 31 | 9% ±5 | 39% ±23 | 59% ±39 | 79% ±46 | 2.1d | 1.71% | 1.03% | 109 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,840 (+0.6%) | 0.8 | 3.5% | 23h | 22.7d ago · 35× | 76% ±25 | 50% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 50% ±12 | 76% ±25 | 95% ±20 | 98% ±17 | 4h | 1.94% | 0.71% | 64 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 86,680–87,160 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 3.3% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 79× | 85% ±15 | 51% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 36% ±14 | 42 | 72% ±8 | 85% ±15 | 92% ±20 | 95% ±25 | 1h | 1.60% | 1.16% | 130 → 3 | |
| at post · 86,360.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | short | 86,360.6 | 84,680 | 91,240 | expired | -1.36% |