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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-16 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 93,854.49 (+7.2%) | 8.7 | 1.6% | 8h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 3% ±4 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±12 | 19% ±24 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 425 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 93,037.88–93,227.52 (+6.3%) | 7.5 | 3.2% | 22h | 2.7d ago · 89× | 13% ±8 | 52% ±16 | 6% ±7 | 42% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±8 | 28% ±19 | 41% ±30 | > 7d | 1.27% | 0.98% | 401 → 10 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 90,145.87–90,240.69 (+3.0%) | 3.6 | 5.5% | 2.6d | 2.5d ago · 117× | 28% ±17 | 45% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 43% ±14 | 50 | 7% ±4 | 28% ±16 | 52% ±31 | 64% ±47 | 2.8d | 1.46% | 0.78% | 171 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 89,539.08–92,775.64 (+2.3%) | 2.7 | 4.2% | 1.7d | 1.3d ago · 79× | 39% ±18 | 51% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 36% ±14 | 42 | 12% ±5 | 39% ±18 | 68% ±29 | 84% ±36 | 1.4d | 1.60% | 1.16% | 172 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 89,055.44 (+1.7%) | 2.1 | 2.5% | 18h | 22.4d ago · 50× | 45% ±24 | 44% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 13% ±7 | 45% ±24 | 66% ±38 | 89% ±44 | 1.3d | 2.16% | 0.82% | 104 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 88,107.24 (+0.6%) | 0.8 | 2.0% | 10h | 2.3d ago · 76× | 83% ±19 | 50% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 44% ±17 | 31 | 60% ±10 | 83% ±19 | 90% ±26 | 97% ±25 | 2h | 1.71% | 1.03% | 89 → 2 | |
| at post · 87,539 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 86,610.76–87,227.25 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 2.6d ago · 98× | 89% ±13 | 56% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 26% ±12 | 54 | 73% ±8 | 90% ±13 | 94% ±18 | 94% ±28 | 1h | 1.20% | 0.70% | 122 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,919 (-0.7%) | 0.8 | 4.5% | 1.2d | 21.7d ago · 37× | 93% ±18 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 80% ±12 | 93% ±18 | 93% ±34 | 98% | 1h | 0.97% | 2.52% | 44 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.