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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-20 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 91,624.45 (+4.0%) | 9.3 | 1.7% | 12h | 7.2d ago · 38× | 2% ±3 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±10 | 16% ±22 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 458 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH | 90,699.37 (+2.9%) | 6.9 | 1.8% | 19h | 2.8d ago · 67× | 16% ±9 | 55% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 47% ±33 | > 7d | 1.38% | 0.91% | 363 → 9 | |
| 14D POC | 90,242.78 (+2.4%) | 5.7 | 2.8% | 1.5d | 2.6d ago · 82× | 15% ±11 | 50% ±15 | 15% ±10 | 35% ±14 | 45 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±11 | 39% ±26 | 63% ±39 | 4.8d | 1.55% | 0.69% | 244 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 89,810.3–90,508.05 (+1.9%) | 4.5 | 2.0% | 13h | 1.4d ago · 79× | 23% ±13 | 48% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 40% ±14 | 45 | 5% ±3 | 23% ±13 | 49% ±26 | 73% ±36 | 3.2d | 1.43% | 1.28% | 253 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 88,630.58 (+0.6%) | 1.4 | 1.3% | 6h | 3.1d ago · 89× | 69% ±18 | 51% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 42% ±15 | 40 | 39% ±8 | 69% ±17 | 79% ±26 | 83% ±37 | 9h | 1.20% | 0.99% | 159 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 88,117.91 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.1% | 18h | 2.9d ago · 117× | 91% ±13 | 42% ±13 | 9% ±8 | 49% ±14 | 52 | 79% ±7 | 91% ±13 | 95% ±18 | 97% ±18 | 1h | 1.52% | 0.86% | 116 → 3 | |
| at post · 88,115.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 87,089.08 (-1.2%) | 2.7 | 3.1% | 20h | 2.4d ago · 63× | 51% ±23 | 47% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 44% ±17 | 31 | 17% ±7 | 51% ±23 | 71% ±36 | 72% ±51 | 1.0d | 1.39% | 1.06% | 108 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 85,626.17–85,795.82 (-2.6%) | 6.2 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.4d ago · 100× | 15% ±9 | 49% ±14 | 8% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±9 | 33% ±20 | 53% ±33 | 5.6d | 1.24% | 1.65% | 379 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 85,205.15 (-3.3%) | 7.7 | 1.0% | 5h | 21.8d ago · 37× | 9% ±8 | 32% ±21 | 9% ±13 | 59% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±8 | 20% ±19 | 37% ±36 | > 7d | 1.17% | 2.19% | 305 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 88,115.3 | 85,795.82 | 88,630.58 | stop | -0.22% |