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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-21 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 91,502.68 (+3.6%) | 9.9 | 1.8% | 16h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 2% ±3 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±10 | 15% ±21 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 471 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH | 91,003.76 (+3.1%) | 8.4 | 2.0% | 16h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 12% ±8 | 55% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±7 | 23% ±17 | 39% ±30 | > 7d | 1.38% | 0.91% | 421 → 10 | |
| 14D POC | 90,242.78 (+2.2%) | 6.0 | 2.6% | 1.3d | 2.5d ago · 82× | 14% ±10 | 50% ±15 | 15% ±10 | 35% ±14 | 45 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±10 | 36% ±25 | 61% ±39 | 5.3d | 1.55% | 0.69% | 255 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 89,919.99–90,485.24 (+1.8%) | 5.0 | 2.0% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 79× | 20% ±12 | 48% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 40% ±14 | 45 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±12 | 44% ±26 | 70% ±37 | 4.4d | 1.43% | 1.28% | 260 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 88,636.37 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 1.3% | 7h | 3.0d ago · 89× | 77% ±17 | 51% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 42% ±15 | 40 | 52% ±8 | 78% ±16 | 85% ±24 | 87% ±33 | 4h | 1.20% | 0.99% | 155 → 4 | |
| at post · 88,309.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 86,076.33–88,224.26 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 1.9% | 23h | 2.5d ago · 98× | 90% ±13 | 53% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 28% ±12 | 57 | 77% ±7 | 90% ±13 | 94% ±18 | 94% ±27 | 1h | 1.26% | 0.82% | 128 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 88,130.23 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 2.1% | 23h | 2.5d ago · 115× | 87% ±13 | 41% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 48% ±13 | 55 | 69% ±7 | 87% ±12 | 92% ±17 | 96% ±20 | 1h | 1.15% | 0.85% | 165 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 86,811.14 (-1.7%) | 4.7 | 2.5% | 16h | 2.3d ago · 63× | 25% ±19 | 46% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 43% ±17 | 32 | 5% ±4 | 24% ±19 | 45% ±37 | 50% ±57 | 4.2d | 1.43% | 1.04% | 118 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 86,016.34 (-2.6%) | 7.1 | 1.9% | 12h | 2.2d ago · 100× | 15% ±9 | 59% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 33% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±9 | 31% ±20 | 52% ±33 | 6.3d | 1.49% | 1.45% | 367 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 85,829.1 (-2.8%) | 7.7 | 1.6% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 57× | 10% ±8 | 31% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 60% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±8 | 26% ±20 | 45% ±34 | > 7d | 0.84% | 1.98% | 333 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 85,624.13 (-3.0%) | 8.3 | 1.1% | 5h | 21.7d ago · 37× | 8% ±7 | 32% ±21 | 9% ±13 | 59% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 18% ±17 | 35% ±33 | > 7d | 1.17% | 2.19% | 336 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 84,719.74–85,058.88 (-3.7%) | 10 | 0.8% | 4h | 1.1d ago · 47× | 17% ±16 | 42% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 47% ±17 | 33 | 1% ±2 | 17% ±16 | 40% ±36 | 62% ±55 | 4.6d | 1.25% | 1.25% | 121 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 88,309.8 | 88,636.37 | 86,016.34 | target | +1.36% |