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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-22 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 92,831.96 (+5.1%) | 7.4 | 2.7% | 16h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 4% ±5 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 14% ±15 | 21% ±27 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 383 → 9 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 90,193.56–90,496.44 (+2.1%) | 3.1 | 5.1% | 2.3d | 2.5d ago · 71× | 30% ±15 | 50% ±16 | 9% ±9 | 41% ±16 | 36 | 8% ±4 | 31% ±15 | 61% ±26 | 69% ±40 | 2.0d | 1.52% | 0.80% | 225 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 89,601.26–90,462.78 (+1.5%) | 2.1 | 4.1% | 1.6d | 1.3d ago · 79× | 50% ±20 | 48% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 40% ±14 | 45 | 19% ±6 | 51% ±20 | 79% ±28 | 90% ±30 | 23h | 1.43% | 1.28% | 152 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 88,741.88 (+0.5%) | 0.7 | 2.7% | 16h | 3.0d ago · 89× | 80% ±16 | 50% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 43% ±15 | 41 | 57% ±8 | 80% ±16 | 87% ±24 | 89% ±35 | 3h | 1.19% | 1.02% | 140 → 3 | |
| at post · 88,305.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 87,662.84–88,201.29 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.1% | 1.9d | 2.6d ago · 98× | 90% ±13 | 54% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 28% ±12 | 58 | 78% ±7 | 90% ±13 | 94% ±18 | 94% ±28 | 1h | 1.20% | 0.77% | 123 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 88,091.89–88,112.04 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 4.3% | 1.9d | 2.3d ago · 115× | 92% ±11 | 42% ±13 | 12% ±9 | 46% ±13 | 56 | 73% ±7 | 92% ±11 | 95% ±15 | 97% ±17 | 1h | 1.11% | 0.76% | 148 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 87,016.7 (-1.5%) | 2.1 | 4.9% | 1.3d | 21.7d ago · 37× | 46% ±35 | 32% ±21 | 9% ±13 | 59% ±22 | 19 | 23% ±12 | 46% ±35 | 60% ±56 | 70% | 1.3d | 1.17% | 2.19% | 50 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 85,829.1–85,956.2 (-2.7%) | 3.9 | 3.4% | 21h | 1.3d ago · 100× | 29% ±12 | 49% ±14 | 8% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 7% ±3 | 29% ±12 | 49% ±22 | 66% ±33 | 3.1d | 1.24% | 1.65% | 356 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 88,305.9 | 88,741.88 | 85,956.2 | target | -0.72% |
| 14d | POC | long | 88,305.9 | 90,496.44 | 85,829.1 | expired | -0.72% |