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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-27 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 92,508.89 (+5.9%) | 9.6 | 3.0% | 22h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 2% ±3 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±10 | 15% ±20 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 491 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 90,193.56 (+3.2%) | 5.3 | 4.5% | 2.0d | 2.4d ago · 71× | 22% ±13 | 48% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 40% ±16 | 37 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±13 | 41% ±27 | 53% ±44 | 4.5d | 1.83% | 0.66% | 227 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 89,601.26–90,462.78 (+2.6%) | 4.2 | 3.6% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 79× | 24% ±13 | 49% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 39% ±14 | 46 | 5% ±3 | 25% ±13 | 58% ±25 | 79% ±32 | 2.2d | 1.49% | 1.22% | 272 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 89,237.11 (+2.1%) | 3.5 | 3.2% | 23h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 26% ±14 | 57% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 40% ±18 | 27 | 6% ±3 | 27% ±14 | 58% ±27 | 66% ±38 | 2.4d | 1.41% | 0.86% | 240 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 88,816.52 (+1.7%) | 2.7 | 2.9% | 19h | 2.9d ago · 89× | 37% ±15 | 51% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 42% ±15 | 42 | 8% ±3 | 38% ±15 | 65% ±26 | 70% ±37 | 1.5d | 1.20% | 0.99% | 232 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 87,564.54 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 4.1% | 1.5d | 2.8d ago · 117× | 88% ±12 | 43% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 48% ±13 | 55 | 70% ±7 | 88% ±12 | 95% ±14 | 97% ±17 | 1h | 1.52% | 0.84% | 160 → 4 | |
| at post · 87,360 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 86,991.6–87,349.04 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 2.2d ago · 100× | 87% ±13 | 49% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 40% ±13 | 53 | 64% ±8 | 87% ±13 | 94% ±16 | 96% ±19 | 3h | 1.32% | 1.21% | 155 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 86,513.34 (-1.0%) | 1.6 | 2.7% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 57× | 66% ±21 | 31% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 60% ±17 | 32 | 28% ±8 | 65% ±21 | 75% ±35 | 82% ±43 | 11h | 0.84% | 1.98% | 115 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 87,360 | 89,237.11 | 86,513.34 | expired | +0.52% |