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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-27 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 91,970.44 (+5.2%) | 22 | 1.2% | 7h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 0% ±1 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 7% ±17 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 357 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 89,385.88–90,462.78 (+2.2%) | 9.3 | 1.3% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 79× | 10% ±9 | 50% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 38% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±9 | 28% ±23 | 49% ±37 | > 7d | 1.56% | 1.17% | 278 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 89,113.3 (+1.9%) | 8.0 | 1.1% | 7h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 13% ±8 | 58% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 39% ±18 | 28 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±8 | 26% ±17 | 39% ±30 | > 7d | 1.47% | 0.86% | 431 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 88,816.52 (+1.6%) | 6.6 | 1.1% | 7h | 2.9d ago · 89× | 14% ±8 | 50% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±8 | 32% ±19 | 42% ±31 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.02% | 423 → 10 | |
| 7D POC | 87,479.66 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.8% | 22h | 2.8d ago · 117× | 89% ±13 | 42% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 49% ±13 | 56 | 75% ±7 | 89% ±12 | 95% ±15 | 97% ±19 | 1h | 1.52% | 0.86% | 143 → 3 | |
| at post · 87,454.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 87,349.04–87,393.62 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 1.8% | 20h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 90% ±14 | 43% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 44% ±15 | 40 | 67% ±9 | 90% ±13 | 92% ±21 | 97% ±20 | 1h | 1.20% | 0.87% | 114 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 86,991.6 (-0.5%) | 2.2 | 1.4% | 9h | 2.2d ago · 100× | 54% ±15 | 61% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 32% ±13 | 53 | 19% ±5 | 54% ±15 | 77% ±22 | 84% ±30 | 20h | 1.58% | 1.27% | 249 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 86,478.25–86,513.34 (-1.1%) | 4.5 | 1.0% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 57× | 19% ±12 | 33% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 57% ±17 | 32 | 4% ±2 | 19% ±12 | 35% ±25 | 53% ±40 | 6.1d | 0.99% | 1.97% | 260 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 87,454.1 | 86,991.6 | 88,816.52 | expired | -0.37% |