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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-28 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 91,431.99 (+4.5%) | 20 | 0.9% | 6h | 7.0d ago · 38× | 0% ±1 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 9% ±17 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 406 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 89,385.88–90,462.78 (+2.2%) | 9.7 | 1.3% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 79× | 9% ±8 | 50% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 38% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±8 | 26% ±21 | 47% ±37 | > 7d | 1.56% | 1.17% | 282 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 88,989.5 (+1.7%) | 7.7 | 1.0% | 6h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 14% ±8 | 58% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 39% ±18 | 28 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±8 | 27% ±18 | 41% ±30 | > 7d | 1.47% | 0.86% | 430 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 88,646.76 (+1.3%) | 5.9 | 1.2% | 8h | 2.9d ago · 89× | 16% ±9 | 50% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±8 | 36% ±19 | 47% ±31 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.02% | 425 → 10 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 87,479.66–87,534.75 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.9% | 1.0d | 2.4d ago · 117× | 88% ±14 | 47% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 41% ±13 | 57 | 71% ±8 | 88% ±14 | 95% ±16 | 97% ±20 | 1h | 1.65% | 0.74% | 132 → 3 | |
| at post · 87,478.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 86,779.4 (-0.8%) | 3.5 | 1.3% | 8h | 2.1d ago · 100× | 38% ±12 | 61% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 32% ±13 | 53 | 9% ±3 | 38% ±12 | 59% ±22 | 72% ±31 | 1.7d | 1.58% | 1.27% | 356 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 86,513.34 (-1.1%) | 4.9 | 1.0% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 57× | 18% ±11 | 31% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 60% ±17 | 32 | 4% ±2 | 17% ±11 | 34% ±23 | 49% ±37 | > 7d | 0.84% | 1.98% | 286 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,047.49 (-1.6%) | 7.2 | 0.9% | 5h | 21.6d ago · 37× | 8% ±8 | 35% ±19 | 15% ±15 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 21% ±19 | 38% ±36 | > 7d | 1.17% | 1.94% | 304 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 87,478.2 | 86,779.4 | 88,646.76 | stop | +0.34% |