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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-29 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 91,216.61 (+4.4%) | 8.0 | 2.3% | 16h | 7.0d ago · 38× | 4% ±4 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 11% ±13 | 19% ±24 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 432 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 89,278.19–90,355.09 (+2.2%) | 4.0 | 3.2% | 23h | 1.2d ago · 79× | 27% ±13 | 50% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 38% ±14 | 47 | 5% ±3 | 27% ±13 | 60% ±25 | 80% ±32 | 2.0d | 1.56% | 1.17% | 268 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 88,989.5 (+1.9%) | 3.4 | 2.8% | 15h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 28% ±14 | 58% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 39% ±18 | 28 | 7% ±3 | 28% ±14 | 61% ±27 | 72% ±36 | 2.2d | 1.47% | 0.86% | 234 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 88,567.33 (+1.4%) | 2.5 | 3.1% | 18h | 2.9d ago · 89× | 42% ±16 | 50% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 10% ±4 | 42% ±16 | 68% ±25 | 73% ±39 | 1.4d | 1.21% | 1.02% | 227 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 87,501.31–87,534.75 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 4.6% | 2.3d | 2.4d ago · 117× | 86% ±13 | 47% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 41% ±13 | 57 | 67% ±7 | 87% ±13 | 94% ±15 | 96% ±18 | 2h | 1.65% | 0.74% | 165 → 4 | |
| at post · 87,344 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 86,764.69 (-0.7%) | 1.2 | 3.1% | 18h | 2.1d ago · 100× | 69% ±15 | 61% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 32% ±13 | 53 | 36% ±7 | 69% ±15 | 87% ±19 | 92% ±24 | 9h | 1.58% | 1.27% | 210 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 86,513.34 (-1.0%) | 1.7 | 2.5% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 57× | 61% ±21 | 31% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 60% ±17 | 32 | 24% ±8 | 61% ±21 | 71% ±34 | 79% ±46 | 15h | 0.84% | 1.98% | 125 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 85,939.8 (-1.6%) | 2.9 | 2.1% | 11h | 21.6d ago · 37× | 33% ±22 | 35% ±19 | 15% ±15 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 13% ±6 | 33% ±22 | 50% ±40 | 63% ±67 | 2.9d | 1.17% | 1.94% | 102 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 87,344 | 86,764.69 | 88,567.33 | expired | -0.74% |
| 30d | POC | short | 87,344 | 85,939.8 | 91,216.61 | expired | -0.74% |