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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-30 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 91,001.23 (+3.6%) | 6.3 | 1.9% | 10h | 7.0d ago · 38× | 9% ±8 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 19% ±18 | 26% ±30 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 325 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 89,278.19–90,355.09 (+1.7%) | 2.9 | 3.3% | 23h | 1.2d ago · 79× | 36% ±16 | 51% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 10% ±4 | 35% ±15 | 68% ±26 | 86% ±30 | 1.7d | 1.60% | 1.16% | 219 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 88,803.78 (+1.1%) | 1.9 | 2.9% | 18h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 44% ±22 | 56% ±18 | 3% ±6 | 41% ±18 | 29 | 24% ±8 | 44% ±22 | 63% ±36 | 68% ±53 | 1.6d | 1.53% | 0.86% | 118 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 88,163.28 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 4.3% | 1.9d | 2.9d ago · 89× | 81% ±16 | 49% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 59% ±8 | 82% ±16 | 87% ±23 | 90% ±34 | 2h | 1.33% | 1.03% | 144 → 3 | |
| at post · 87,827.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 87,472.85–87,501.31 (-0.4%) | 0.7 | 5.3% | 2.6d | 2.2d ago · 115× | 89% ±11 | 43% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 60 | 66% ±7 | 89% ±11 | 93% ±16 | 97% ±18 | 2h | 1.15% | 0.82% | 181 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 86,699.05–86,797.02 (-1.2%) | 2.1 | 3.2% | 20h | 1.2d ago · 100× | 51% ±16 | 50% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 53 | 17% ±5 | 51% ±16 | 71% ±25 | 78% ±33 | 1.1d | 1.30% | 1.54% | 233 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 85,724.42 (-2.4%) | 4.2 | 1.7% | 8h | 21.6d ago · 37× | 20% ±14 | 35% ±19 | 15% ±15 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 4% ±3 | 19% ±14 | 35% ±28 | 53% ±44 | 5.8d | 1.17% | 1.94% | 190 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 87,827.1 | 88,163.28 | 86,797.02 | target | +0.64% |
| 14d | POC | long | 87,827.1 | 88,803.78 | 86,699.05 | target | +0.64% |
| 30d | POC | long | 87,827.1 | 91,001.23 | 85,724.42 | expired | +0.64% |