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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-30 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 90,785.85 (+2.4%) | 4.8 | 1.4% | 5h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 19% ±13 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±13 | 35% ±27 | 41% ±43 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 213 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 89,278.19–90,355.09 (+0.7%) | 1.3 | 2.9% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 79× | 68% ±18 | 51% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 45% ±8 | 68% ±18 | 87% ±22 | 93% ±24 | 6h | 1.60% | 1.16% | 164 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 88,927.59 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 2.7% | 15h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 71% ±25 | 56% ±18 | 3% ±6 | 41% ±18 | 29 | 57% ±11 | 71% ±25 | 77% ±41 | 78% ±57 | 3h | 1.53% | 0.86% | 75 → 2 | |
| at post · 88,698.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 86,909.01–88,524.36 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 2.9% | 16h | 2.5d ago · 98× | 91% ±12 | 53% ±13 | 20% ±10 | 27% ±11 | 61 | 75% ±7 | 91% ±12 | 94% ±16 | 94% ±26 | 1h | 1.14% | 0.82% | 139 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 88,364.2 (-0.4%) | 0.8 | 3.0% | 24h | 3.0d ago · 72× | 82% ±21 | 34% ±16 | 11% ±11 | 54% ±17 | 32 | 59% ±11 | 82% ±21 | 89% ±31 | 92% ±37 | 2h | 1.07% | 1.37% | 77 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 87,472.85–87,501.31 (-1.4%) | 2.8 | 4.6% | 2.3d | 2.3d ago · 115× | 57% ±18 | 43% ±12 | 12% ±8 | 46% ±12 | 61 | 16% ±5 | 57% ±18 | 76% ±26 | 84% ±36 | 19h | 1.12% | 0.84% | 179 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 86,756.84–86,760.95 (-2.2%) | 4.5 | 2.7% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 100× | 26% ±11 | 50% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 42% ±13 | 54 | 5% ±2 | 26% ±11 | 45% ±21 | 61% ±32 | 4.4d | 1.31% | 1.45% | 393 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 85,724.42 (-3.4%) | 6.9 | 1.4% | 7h | 21.7d ago · 37× | 9% ±8 | 35% ±19 | 15% ±15 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±8 | 23% ±21 | 40% ±36 | > 7d | 1.17% | 1.94% | 294 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 88,698.9 | 87,472.85 | 89,317.59 | target | +1.21% |