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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-12-31 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 90,902.3 (+3.7%) | 8.5 | 1.3% | 4h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 3% ±4 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±11 | 17% ±22 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 478 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 89,583.26–90,293.51 (+2.2%) | 5.1 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 79× | 21% ±12 | 51% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 4% ±2 | 22% ±12 | 51% ±24 | 74% ±32 | 2.9d | 1.60% | 1.16% | 292 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 89,051.4 (+1.6%) | 3.7 | 2.5% | 13h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 27% ±13 | 58% ±18 | 3% ±6 | 39% ±17 | 30 | 6% ±3 | 27% ±13 | 59% ±26 | 70% ±36 | 2.3d | 1.47% | 0.86% | 259 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 88,759.39 (+1.3%) | 2.9 | 2.9% | 18h | 2.9d ago · 89× | 34% ±14 | 48% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 46% ±15 | 45 | 7% ±3 | 34% ±14 | 64% ±25 | 69% ±37 | 1.6d | 1.21% | 1.03% | 259 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 87,844.27–87,909.11 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 4.2% | 1.6d | 2.4d ago · 82× | 82% ±14 | 48% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 40% ±13 | 51 | 59% ±8 | 82% ±14 | 93% ±17 | 95% ±22 | 3h | 1.49% | 0.73% | 160 → 4 | |
| at post · 87,625.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 87,501.97 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 4.2% | 2.1d | 2.5d ago · 115× | 89% ±12 | 42% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 48% ±13 | 61 | 72% ±7 | 89% ±12 | 94% ±16 | 97% ±17 | 1h | 1.06% | 0.82% | 156 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 87,008.57–87,182.92 (-0.5%) | 1.1 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 100× | 67% ±15 | 50% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 42% ±13 | 54 | 33% ±6 | 67% ±15 | 81% ±22 | 87% ±30 | 10h | 1.31% | 1.45% | 217 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,032.02 (-1.8%) | 4.1 | 1.2% | 8h | 21.7d ago · 37× | 19% ±14 | 35% ±19 | 15% ±15 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 4% ±3 | 19% ±14 | 35% ±30 | 54% ±49 | 5.6d | 1.17% | 1.94% | 188 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 87,625.9 | 87,008.57 | 89,051.4 | expired | -0.38% |