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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-01-01 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 91,308.15 (+4.1%) | 11 | 1.2% | 7h | 7.0d ago · 38× | 1% ±2 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±8 | 13% ±18 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.63% | 527 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 89,481.8–90,293.51 (+2.0%) | 5.5 | 2.3% | 20h | 1.2d ago · 79× | 20% ±11 | 52% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±13 | 49 | 4% ±2 | 21% ±11 | 47% ±24 | 73% ±33 | 3.5d | 1.64% | 1.15% | 306 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 88,927.59 (+1.4%) | 3.8 | 2.2% | 13h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 27% ±13 | 58% ±18 | 3% ±6 | 39% ±17 | 30 | 6% ±3 | 27% ±13 | 59% ±25 | 70% ±37 | 2.3d | 1.47% | 0.86% | 268 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 88,759.39 (+1.2%) | 3.2 | 2.4% | 15h | 2.9d ago · 89× | 31% ±13 | 48% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 46% ±15 | 45 | 5% ±2 | 31% ±13 | 62% ±24 | 69% ±34 | 1.8d | 1.21% | 1.03% | 292 → 7 | |
| 14D POC | 87,844.27 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 3.7% | 1.5d | 2.4d ago · 82× | 87% ±14 | 50% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 37% ±13 | 51 | 69% ±8 | 87% ±13 | 95% ±16 | 97% ±21 | 2h | 1.55% | 0.69% | 145 → 3 | |
| at post · 87,741.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 87,501.97–87,604.72 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 3.8% | 1.7d | 2.2d ago · 115× | 88% ±11 | 45% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 65% ±7 | 88% ±11 | 92% ±16 | 96% ±17 | 2h | 1.21% | 0.88% | 199 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 87,070.47–87,182.92 (-0.6%) | 1.8 | 2.8% | 21h | 1.2d ago · 100× | 53% ±16 | 50% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 42% ±13 | 54 | 18% ±5 | 53% ±15 | 72% ±25 | 79% ±33 | 24h | 1.31% | 1.45% | 238 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 86,539.34 (-1.4%) | 3.8 | 1.1% | 6h | 21.6d ago · 37× | 21% ±15 | 35% ±19 | 15% ±15 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 4% ±3 | 20% ±15 | 37% ±30 | 54% ±49 | 4.9d | 1.17% | 1.94% | 171 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 87,741.5 | 91,308.15 | 86,539.34 | expired | +1.59% |