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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-01-21 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 97,562.39 (+8.2%) | 8.7 | 0.6% | 3h | 2.9d ago · 89× | 10% ±7 | 49% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 42% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±7 | 25% ±17 | 37% ±29 | > 7d | 1.24% | 1.03% | 456 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 94,821.39–95,208.55 (+5.2%) | 5.5 | 2.0% | 15h | 2.6d ago · 117× | 19% ±9 | 49% ±12 | 8% ±6 | 43% ±12 | 65 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±9 | 41% ±21 | 58% ±32 | 4.8d | 1.52% | 0.84% | 395 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 94,111.66–94,806.28 (+4.4%) | 4.6 | 2.1% | 9h | 9.0d ago · 53× | 26% ±17 | 49% ±16 | 22% ±13 | 29% ±14 | 38 | 5% ±3 | 26% ±17 | 40% ±32 | 61% ±48 | 4.3d | 1.92% | 0.65% | 158 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 92,722.41 (+2.8%) | 3.0 | 4.2% | 1.1d | 7.0d ago · 38× | 38% ±22 | 42% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 54% ±21 | 21 | 7% ±5 | 38% ±22 | 63% ±39 | 74% ±50 | 1.4d | 0.96% | 1.42% | 110 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC | 90,239.34–90,584.38 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.6% | 1.4d | 2.3d ago · 82× | 87% ±13 | 48% ±14 | 10% ±8 | 42% ±13 | 52 | 71% ±7 | 87% ±13 | 94% ±15 | 97% ±17 | 2h | 1.53% | 0.86% | 162 → 4 | |
| at post · 90,170.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 88,438.88–88,786.19 (-1.5%) | 1.6 | 5.2% | 1.3d | 2.5d ago · 98× | 65% ±17 | 56% ±12 | 19% ±9 | 25% ±10 | 69 | 31% ±7 | 66% ±16 | 78% ±25 | 80% ±35 | 10h | 1.26% | 0.75% | 191 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAL | 87,527.3–87,686.37 (-2.8%) | 2.9 | 7.8% | 3.9d | 1.3d ago · 63× | 35% ±15 | 40% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 48% ±16 | 38 | 10% ±4 | 35% ±15 | 52% ±27 | 59% ±39 | 3.6d | 1.20% | 1.41% | 231 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 87,049.63 (-3.5%) | 3.7 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 21.6d ago · 37× | 22% ±16 | 35% ±19 | 15% ±15 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 5% ±3 | 23% ±16 | 39% ±32 | 53% ±49 | 5.0d | 1.17% | 1.94% | 167 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 90,170.8 | 89,768.57 | 95,208.55 | target | +0.89% |