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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-02-03 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,508 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.14) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 97,681.67 (+27.8%) | 22 | 0.4% | 2h | 6.8d ago · 38× | 1% ±2 | 42% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 54% ±21 | 21 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 9% ±18 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.42% | 399 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH | 91,011.94 (+19.1%) | 15 | 4.8% | 2.0d | 2.4d ago · 67× | 2% ±3 | 61% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 37% ±16 | 35 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±9 | 18% ±23 | > 7d | 1.53% | 0.85% | 467 → 11 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 89,455.95–89,793.16 (+17.0%) | 14 | 5.2% | 2.6d | 2.2d ago · 82× | 2% ±5 | 48% ±13 | 12% ±9 | 39% ±13 | 54 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 8% ±14 | 30% ±37 | > 7d | 1.51% | 0.74% | 246 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 85,160.22 (+11.4%) | 9.1 | 0.6% | 51m | 22.4d ago · 35× | 5% ±10 | 40% ±18 | 13% ±13 | 47% ±19 | 27 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 27% ±33 | 41% ±56 | > 7d | 1.41% | 0.92% | 123 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 83,157.23 (+8.8%) | 7.0 | 1.5% | 9h | 2.7d ago · 89× | 13% ±7 | 50% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 41% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±7 | 30% ±17 | 42% ±28 | > 7d | 1.27% | 1.02% | 506 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 79,400.35–81,654.22 (+3.9%) | 3.1 | 0.3% | 46m | 8.8d ago · 53× | 41% ±20 | 50% ±15 | 23% ±13 | 27% ±14 | 41 | 11% ±5 | 41% ±19 | 54% ±35 | 63% ±47 | 1.5d | 2.08% | 0.61% | 147 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 78,465.8–78,564 (+2.7%) | 2.1 | 3.2% | 22h | 2.6d ago · 117× | 51% ±19 | 42% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 48% ±12 | 68 | 16% ±5 | 51% ±19 | 70% ±30 | 86% ±34 | 1.0d | 1.60% | 0.86% | 168 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 78,148.21–78,649.07 (+2.2%) | 1.8 | 3.2% | 17h | 1.1d ago · 79× | 61% ±17 | 56% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 32% ±12 | 56 | 32% ±7 | 61% ±17 | 84% ±23 | 91% ±28 | 13h | 1.64% | 1.14% | 183 → 4 | |
| at post · 76,431.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 72,889.2 (-4.6%) | 3.7 | 0.1% | 7m | 1.9d ago · 100× | 34% ±11 | 61% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 33% ±12 | 63 | 8% ±2 | 35% ±11 | 56% ±20 | 68% ±29 | 2.0d | 1.48% | 1.27% | 434 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 76,431.9 | 78,465.8 | 71,040.95 | expired | -3.85% |