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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-02-15 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,508 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.14) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 83,175.95 (+20.0%) | 30 | 0.5% | 4h | 7.0d ago · 38× | 0% ±1 | 42% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 54% ±21 | 21 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 6% ±16 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.42% | 329 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 79,220.02–81,737.43 (+14.3%) | 21 | 0.2% | 1h | 9.0d ago · 53× | 1% ±3 | 51% ±15 | 21% ±12 | 28% ±13 | 44 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 10% ±15 | 21% ±30 | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.65% | 273 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 77,781.5–78,500.76 (+12.3%) | 18 | 1.0% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 79× | 3% ±6 | 55% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 32% ±12 | 59 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 11% ±19 | 18% ±33 | > 7d | 1.65% | 1.17% | 193 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 71,701.71 (+3.5%) | 5.1 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.5d ago · 67× | 25% ±10 | 61% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 37% ±16 | 35 | 3% ±2 | 25% ±10 | 48% ±21 | 61% ±30 | 4.0d | 1.53% | 0.85% | 401 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 71,072.77 (+2.6%) | 3.8 | 1.2% | 8h | 2.9d ago · 89× | 27% ±11 | 49% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 42% ±13 | 52 | 4% ±2 | 27% ±11 | 54% ±21 | 64% ±31 | 2.3d | 1.24% | 1.03% | 393 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 69,330.2 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.2% | 15h | 2.4d ago · 71× | 88% ±16 | 47% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 41% ±14 | 46 | 64% ±9 | 88% ±16 | 93% ±20 | 97% ±23 | 2h | 1.38% | 0.78% | 103 → 2 | |
| at post · 69,284.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 69,262.83 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.3% | 16h | 2.2d ago · 85× | 93% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 49 | 75% ±8 | 93% ±12 | 97% ±13 | 97% ±23 | 1h | 1.03% | 0.79% | 104 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 68,870.98 (-0.6%) | 0.9 | 2.3% | 21h | 2.4d ago · 115× | 86% ±11 | 42% ±11 | 9% ±7 | 49% ±11 | 74 | 65% ±6 | 86% ±11 | 91% ±15 | 95% ±18 | 2h | 1.08% | 0.94% | 246 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 67,246.7 (-2.9%) | 4.3 | 1.4% | 7h | 2.1d ago · 100× | 29% ±10 | 60% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 34% ±11 | 67 | 6% ±2 | 29% ±10 | 52% ±19 | 65% ±28 | 2.8d | 1.58% | 1.37% | 469 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 63,116.87 (-8.9%) | 13 | 0.3% | 29m | 1.2d ago · 57× | 4% ±4 | 33% ±15 | 8% ±9 | 59% ±16 | 36 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±14 | 34% ±27 | > 7d | 1.06% | 2.00% | 491 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL | 59,800 (-13.7%) | 20 | <0.1% | 2m | 21.6d ago · 37× | 2% ±3 | 39% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±10 | 19% ±23 | > 7d | 1.31% | 1.88% | 468 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 69,284.9 | 59,800 | 83,175.95 | expired | -0.66% |