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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-02-16 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,508 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.14) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 82,367.8 (+18.1%) | 26 | 0.5% | 2h | 7.0d ago · 38× | 1% ±2 | 42% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 54% ±21 | 21 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±15 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.42% | 387 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 79,502.05–81,651.36 (+14.0%) | 20 | <0.1% | 7m | 9.0d ago · 53× | 1% ±3 | 51% ±15 | 21% ±12 | 28% ±13 | 44 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 10% ±15 | 20% ±30 | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.65% | 294 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 77,710.95–78,785.61 (+11.4%) | 16 | 1.0% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 79× | 4% ±7 | 55% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 32% ±12 | 59 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 13% ±19 | 21% ±36 | > 7d | 1.65% | 1.17% | 217 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 71,506.6 (+2.5%) | 3.6 | 0.6% | 3h | 2.5d ago · 67× | 30% ±13 | 61% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 37% ±16 | 35 | 7% ±3 | 30% ±13 | 61% ±24 | 71% ±34 | 2.1d | 1.53% | 0.85% | 293 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 70,544.64 (+1.2%) | 1.6 | 1.9% | 13h | 2.9d ago · 89× | 65% ±16 | 49% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 42% ±13 | 52 | 32% ±6 | 65% ±16 | 80% ±23 | 84% ±32 | 11h | 1.24% | 1.03% | 210 → 5 | |
| at post · 69,739.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 68,872.61–68,934.58 (-1.2%) | 1.6 | 2.9% | 1.2d | 2.2d ago · 115× | 75% ±15 | 44% ±11 | 11% ±7 | 45% ±11 | 74 | 33% ±7 | 75% ±15 | 86% ±20 | 91% ±25 | 9h | 1.17% | 0.90% | 195 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 67,242.44 (-3.6%) | 5.1 | 1.5% | 8h | 2.1d ago · 100× | 24% ±9 | 60% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 34% ±11 | 67 | 4% ±2 | 24% ±9 | 44% ±18 | 61% ±28 | 4.9d | 1.58% | 1.37% | 500 → 12 | |
| 14D VAL | 64,872.86 (-7.0%) | 9.9 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 57× | 5% ±5 | 33% ±15 | 8% ±9 | 59% ±16 | 36 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±5 | 16% ±13 | 33% ±25 | > 7d | 1.06% | 2.00% | 537 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 59,800 (-14.3%) | 20 | <0.1% | 2m | 21.6d ago · 37× | 2% ±3 | 39% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±10 | 19% ±23 | > 7d | 1.31% | 1.88% | 471 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 69,739.3 | 70,544.64 | 67,242.44 | expired | -2.65% |
| 14d | POC | long | 69,739.3 | 71,506.6 | 64,872.86 | expired | -2.65% |
| 30d | POC | long | 69,739.3 | 82,367.8 | 59,800 | expired | -2.65% |