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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-02-20 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,508 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.14) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 79,264.9–81,776.5 (+17.0%) | 22 | 0.2% | 54m | 9.0d ago · 53× | 1% ±3 | 51% ±15 | 21% ±12 | 28% ±13 | 44 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 8% ±13 | 19% ±29 | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.65% | 286 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 78,009.1 (+15.1%) | 20 | 1.2% | 7h | 7.0d ago · 38× | 1% ±2 | 42% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 54% ±21 | 21 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±15 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.42% | 530 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 77,695.15–78,637 (+14.7%) | 19 | 1.1% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 79× | 2% ±4 | 55% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 32% ±12 | 59 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±16 | 14% ±31 | > 7d | 1.65% | 1.17% | 199 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 69,845.54 (+3.1%) | 4.0 | 2.1% | 15h | 2.5d ago · 67× | 28% ±12 | 61% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 37% ±16 | 35 | 6% ±3 | 27% ±12 | 55% ±23 | 66% ±33 | 2.5d | 1.53% | 0.85% | 329 → 8 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH | 68,870.98–69,015.09 (+1.6%) | 2.1 | 3.2% | 1.4d | 2.3d ago · 89× | 46% ±14 | 49% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 41% ±13 | 58 | 13% ±4 | 45% ±14 | 68% ±23 | 75% ±32 | 1.2d | 1.47% | 0.87% | 286 → 7 | |
| at post · 67,763.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 67,177.83–67,278.68 (-0.7%) | 0.9 | 2.9% | 21h | 2.2d ago · 115× | 85% ±11 | 43% ±11 | 10% ±7 | 47% ±11 | 76 | 60% ±6 | 85% ±11 | 91% ±15 | 94% ±18 | 3h | 1.22% | 0.96% | 251 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 66,397.12–66,524.8 (-1.8%) | 2.4 | 2.2% | 14h | 1.2d ago · 100× | 45% ±12 | 51% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 43% ±12 | 69 | 14% ±3 | 45% ±12 | 63% ±20 | 72% ±29 | 1.5d | 1.43% | 1.59% | 387 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 62,625.55 (-7.6%) | 9.9 | 0.2% | 14m | 21.5d ago · 37× | 5% ±5 | 39% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 13% ±12 | 24% ±24 | > 7d | 1.31% | 1.88% | 517 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 67,763.2 | 68,870.98 | 65,927.07 | expired | +0.78% |