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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-02-21 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,505 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.48 to 0.08) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 79,264.9–81,776.5 (+16.5%) | 24 | 0.2% | 47m | 8.8d ago · 53× | 1% ±3 | 51% ±15 | 21% ±12 | 28% ±13 | 44 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±13 | 18% ±30 | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.65% | 266 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 77,695.15–78,637 (+14.2%) | 20 | 1.0% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 79× | 1% ±3 | 55% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 32% ±12 | 59 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±15 | 12% ±32 | > 7d | 1.65% | 1.17% | 179 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 77,381.2 (+13.8%) | 20 | 0.8% | 4h | 6.8d ago · 38× | 1% ±2 | 42% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 54% ±21 | 21 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±15 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.42% | 530 → 13 | |
| 14D VAH | 69,701.16 (+2.5%) | 3.6 | 2.2% | 17h | 2.3d ago · 67× | 30% ±13 | 61% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 37% ±16 | 35 | 7% ±3 | 30% ±13 | 59% ±23 | 70% ±34 | 2.2d | 1.53% | 0.85% | 302 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC | 68,694.52–68,870.98 (+1.0%) | 1.4 | 2.6% | 23h | 2.2d ago · 89× | 62% ±16 | 49% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 41% ±13 | 58 | 30% ±6 | 61% ±16 | 77% ±24 | 84% ±32 | 15h | 1.47% | 0.87% | 216 → 5 | |
| at post · 68,016.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 67,805.73–67,866.39 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 2.0d ago · 115× | 89% ±11 | 43% ±11 | 10% ±7 | 47% ±11 | 76 | 70% ±6 | 88% ±11 | 92% ±16 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 1.22% | 0.96% | 195 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 66,596.99 (-2.1%) | 3.0 | 2.1% | 12h | 1.2d ago · 57× | 30% ±14 | 33% ±15 | 8% ±8 | 60% ±16 | 37 | 8% ±3 | 31% ±14 | 45% ±26 | 57% ±40 | 3.8d | 1.14% | 1.99% | 251 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 66,236.84 (-2.6%) | 3.8 | 1.6% | 11h | 1.9d ago · 100× | 36% ±11 | 61% ±12 | 6% ±5 | 33% ±11 | 69 | 7% ±2 | 36% ±11 | 57% ±19 | 70% ±27 | 1.8d | 1.59% | 1.37% | 480 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 62,625.55 (-7.9%) | 11 | 0.2% | 13m | 21.4d ago · 37× | 4% ±4 | 39% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 12% ±11 | 22% ±22 | > 7d | 1.31% | 1.88% | 572 → 14 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 68,016.9 | 68,694.52 | 66,236.84 | expired | -0.16% |