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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-03-02 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,509 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.43 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 70,887.38 (+7.5%) | 6.7 | 2.1% | 16h | 7.1d ago · 38× | 7% ±6 | 42% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 54% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 17% ±15 | 24% ±27 | > 7d | 0.96% | 1.42% | 433 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH | 68,414.88 (+3.8%) | 3.4 | 4.4% | 1.6d | 2.7d ago · 67× | 30% ±13 | 62% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 36% ±16 | 36 | 7% ±3 | 30% ±13 | 60% ±23 | 73% ±33 | 2.2d | 1.79% | 0.86% | 297 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 67,769.05–67,795.78 (+2.8%) | 2.5 | 6.1% | 2.4d | 2.5d ago · 89× | 38% ±13 | 50% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 40% ±13 | 55 | 10% ±3 | 37% ±13 | 63% ±22 | 72% ±31 | 1.6d | 1.48% | 0.91% | 327 → 8 | |
| 14D POC | 67,297.04 (+2.1%) | 1.8 | 5.8% | 2.0d | 2.5d ago · 82× | 52% ±17 | 51% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 38% ±12 | 62 | 21% ±6 | 51% ±17 | 74% ±26 | 88% ±29 | 23h | 1.74% | 0.72% | 198 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 66,162.36 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 4.8% | 1.4d | 2.8d ago · 117× | 86% ±11 | 44% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 48% ±11 | 81 | 72% ±6 | 86% ±11 | 94% ±14 | 97% ±16 | 1h | 1.57% | 0.86% | 219 → 5 | |
| at post · 65,927.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 65,331.2 (-0.9%) | 0.8 | 2.7% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 57× | 73% ±19 | 33% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 60% ±15 | 40 | 49% ±9 | 73% ±18 | 79% ±30 | 82% ±43 | 5h | 1.02% | 2.00% | 131 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 64,073.11–64,188.75 (-2.6%) | 2.3 | 2.1% | 11h | 2.2d ago · 100× | 49% ±12 | 56% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 37% ±11 | 73 | 17% ±4 | 49% ±12 | 69% ±20 | 76% ±28 | 1.1d | 1.54% | 1.46% | 381 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 65,927.8 | 64,073.11 | 67,795.78 | stop | -2.17% |