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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-03-03 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,508 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.14) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 71,701.71–72,872.37 (+3.8%) | 3.4 | 0.5% | 2h | 9.0d ago · 53× | 33% ±17 | 51% ±15 | 21% ±12 | 28% ±13 | 44 | 8% ±4 | 33% ±17 | 47% ±31 | 55% ±49 | 4.5d | 2.08% | 0.65% | 174 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 70,726.16 (+2.4%) | 2.1 | 2.5% | 18h | 7.0d ago · 38× | 51% ±27 | 42% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 54% ±21 | 21 | 15% ±8 | 50% ±27 | 69% ±45 | 77% ±58 | 1.0d | 0.96% | 1.42% | 79 → 2 | |
| at post · 69,051.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 69,022.24 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.3% | 2.0d | 2.9d ago · 72× | 92% ±19 | 39% ±16 | 10% ±9 | 51% ±16 | 38 | 81% ±11 | 92% ±18 | 92% ±30 | 96% | 1h | 1.13% | 1.27% | 50 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 68,406.37 (-0.9%) | 0.8 | 4.9% | 1.7d | 2.8d ago · 58× | 77% ±25 | 42% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 55% ±18 | 28 | 58% ±12 | 77% ±24 | 87% ±33 | 92% ±39 | 3h | 1.36% | 1.22% | 69 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 67,290.12–67,311.74 (-2.5%) | 2.2 | 6.4% | 2.1d | 2.2d ago · 85× | 62% ±19 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 54 | 24% ±7 | 62% ±19 | 77% ±29 | 84% ±41 | 15h | 1.24% | 0.93% | 144 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 66,212.36 (-4.1%) | 3.6 | 5.2% | 1.5d | 2.4d ago · 115× | 47% ±17 | 42% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 49% ±11 | 80 | 10% ±4 | 47% ±17 | 66% ±27 | 79% ±36 | 1.1d | 1.12% | 0.96% | 211 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 64,677.75–65,173.09 (-5.6%) | 5.0 | 2.6% | 14h | 1.2d ago · 100× | 19% ±8 | 50% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 43% ±11 | 73 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±8 | 37% ±17 | 53% ±27 | 4.0d | 1.43% | 1.61% | 538 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 69,051.9 | 73,208.98 | 66,212.36 | stop | -1.43% |