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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,501 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.47 to 0.08) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 71,701.71–72,677.26 (+5.3%) | 4.8 | 0.4% | 2h | 8.6d ago · 53× | 19% ±13 | 51% ±15 | 21% ±12 | 28% ±13 | 44 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±12 | 31% ±25 | 47% ±44 | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.65% | 230 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 70,726.16 (+3.9%) | 3.5 | 2.4% | 17h | 6.6d ago · 38× | 29% ±18 | 42% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 54% ±21 | 21 | 5% ±3 | 29% ±18 | 52% ±35 | 62% ±48 | 2.9d | 0.96% | 1.42% | 151 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 68,462.29–68,560.34 (+0.6%) | 0.5 | 5.1% | 1.8d | 2.1d ago · 89× | 80% ±15 | 53% ±13 | 6% ±6 | 40% ±13 | 56 | 62% ±7 | 81% ±14 | 85% ±22 | 89% ±31 | 2h | 1.69% | 0.98% | 172 → 4 | |
| at post · 68,065.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 67,897.07 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 6.8% | 2.8d | 1.8d ago · 63× | 91% ±13 | 46% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 42% ±14 | 49 | 68% ±9 | 91% ±13 | 92% ±21 | 96% ±21 | 2h | 1.46% | 0.99% | 109 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 67,290.12 (-1.1%) | 1.0 | 6.4% | 2.1d | 1.8d ago · 85× | 87% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 54 | 59% ±7 | 87% ±12 | 92% ±17 | 95% ±21 | 2h | 1.03% | 0.88% | 184 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 66,717.76 (-2.0%) | 1.8 | 5.8% | 1.7d | 2.0d ago · 115× | 76% ±14 | 43% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 49% ±11 | 81 | 34% ±6 | 76% ±14 | 86% ±19 | 93% ±23 | 9h | 1.14% | 0.95% | 207 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 65,067.97–65,329.27 (-4.0%) | 3.6 | 2.9% | 17h | 1.4d ago · 100× | 30% ±10 | 50% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 43% ±11 | 73 | 6% ±2 | 29% ±10 | 50% ±19 | 62% ±27 | 3.3d | 1.43% | 1.61% | 506 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 68,065.8 | 66,717.76 | 69,026.23 | stop | -6.85% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 68,065.8 | 67,290.12 | 69,142.33 | stop | -6.85% |