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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-03-04 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,510 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 71,701.71–72,482.15 (+1.0%) | 0.8 | 0.5% | 2h | 9.3d ago · 53× | 78% ±16 | 51% ±15 | 21% ±12 | 28% ±13 | 44 | 57% ±8 | 78% ±16 | 86% ±24 | 87% ±33 | 3h | 2.08% | 0.65% | 150 → 4 | |
| at post · 70,993.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 70,531.05 (-0.7%) | 0.5 | 3.2% | 24h | 8.3d ago · 36× | 88% ±23 | 30% ±20 | 17% ±17 | 52% ±22 | 20 | 72% ±13 | 88% ±23 | 92% ±31 | 92% | 1h | 1.18% | 0.92% | 48 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 65,263.08–70,140.83 (-1.2%) | 1.0 | 3.2% | 21h | 2.7d ago · 98× | 87% ±10 | 54% ±11 | 19% ±9 | 27% ±10 | 76 | 60% ±6 | 87% ±10 | 93% ±13 | 94% ±19 | 2h | 1.39% | 0.84% | 253 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 68,560.51–68,733.85 (-3.2%) | 2.6 | 6.5% | 2.5d | 3.1d ago · 72× | 43% ±21 | 39% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 54% ±16 | 39 | 13% ±6 | 43% ±21 | 64% ±36 | 77% ±48 | 1.5d | 1.25% | 1.32% | 124 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 67,897.07–67,988.62 (-4.2%) | 3.4 | 8.1% | 3.4d | 2.5d ago · 85× | 39% ±18 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 54 | 10% ±5 | 40% ±18 | 60% ±32 | 69% ±45 | 1.5d | 1.24% | 0.94% | 165 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 66,719.83 (-6.0%) | 4.9 | 6.7% | 2.0d | 2.7d ago · 115× | 30% ±15 | 43% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 49% ±11 | 81 | 6% ±3 | 31% ±15 | 54% ±27 | 71% ±40 | 2.6d | 1.14% | 0.95% | 226 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 65,067.97–65,610.06 (-7.6%) | 6.2 | 4.3% | 1.2d | 1.5d ago · 100× | 14% ±7 | 50% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 43% ±11 | 73 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±7 | 30% ±16 | 47% ±27 | 5.2d | 1.43% | 1.61% | 533 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 70,993.7 | 76,456.78 | 67,897.07 | expired | +1.85% |