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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-03-07 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,501 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.47 to 0.08) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 71,279.75 (+4.4%) | 5.2 | 2.1% | 14h | 2.4d ago · 89× | 18% ±8 | 48% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 57 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±8 | 40% ±17 | 53% ±27 | 6.2d | 1.47% | 1.07% | 553 → 13 | |
| 30D VAH | 70,342.41 (+3.1%) | 3.6 | 2.6% | 21h | 6.6d ago · 38× | 31% ±17 | 40% ±20 | 4% ±8 | 56% ±21 | 22 | 5% ±3 | 31% ±17 | 53% ±33 | 63% ±47 | 2.5d | 0.95% | 1.46% | 164 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 69,272.13 (+1.5%) | 1.8 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 2.1d ago · 67× | 54% ±20 | 59% ±16 | 2% ±5 | 39% ±16 | 38 | 28% ±7 | 54% ±20 | 71% ±31 | 76% ±48 | 17h | 1.79% | 0.91% | 145 → 3 | |
| at post · 68,243.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 67,991.74–68,236.33 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.4% | 2.1d | 1.8d ago · 115× | 92% ±10 | 43% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 47% ±11 | 82 | 76% ±6 | 92% ±10 | 95% ±15 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 1.20% | 0.96% | 169 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 65,356.14 (-4.2%) | 5.0 | 2.2% | 14h | 21.1d ago · 37× | 16% ±10 | 42% ±18 | 12% ±12 | 45% ±18 | 30 | 3% ±2 | 16% ±10 | 32% ±22 | 49% ±35 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.68% | 327 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 64,971.56 (-4.8%) | 5.6 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.6d ago · 100× | 22% ±9 | 62% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 33% ±11 | 73 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±8 | 43% ±18 | 59% ±27 | 5.0d | 1.60% | 1.37% | 543 → 13 | |
| 14D VAL | 64,031.97 (-6.2%) | 7.3 | 1.5% | 9h | 1.4d ago · 57× | 9% ±6 | 34% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 59% ±15 | 41 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 23% ±15 | 40% ±28 | > 7d | 1.14% | 1.99% | 515 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 68,243.2 | 71,279.75 | 64,971.56 | expired | -1.59% |
| 14d | POC | long | 68,243.2 | 69,272.13 | 64,031.97 | expired | -1.59% |