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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-04-30 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.46 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 79,179.42 (+4.9%) | 7.5 | 0.5% | 4h | 6.4d ago · 38× | 6% ±5 | 40% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 54% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 20% ±14 | 31% ±24 | > 7d | 1.19% | 1.56% | 590 → 14 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 78,339.32–78,354.12 (+3.8%) | 5.8 | 1.6% | 10h | 1.9d ago · 89× | 17% ±7 | 51% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 41% ±11 | 74 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±7 | 39% ±15 | 54% ±24 | 5.8d | 1.55% | 1.05% | 706 → 17 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 77,688.51–77,732.64 (+3.0%) | 4.5 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 1.8d ago · 117× | 24% ±11 | 45% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 44% ±10 | 102 | 4% ±2 | 25% ±11 | 51% ±22 | 68% ±32 | 3.0d | 1.53% | 0.89% | 352 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 77,250.38–78,214.9 (+2.4%) | 3.6 | 2.3% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 79× | 31% ±12 | 55% ±11 | 16% ±8 | 30% ±10 | 74 | 8% ±3 | 32% ±12 | 65% ±22 | 80% ±28 | 1.9d | 1.69% | 1.22% | 334 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 76,519.32 (+1.4%) | 2.2 | 2.1% | 12h | 1.6d ago · 76× | 59% ±20 | 49% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 17% ±6 | 60% ±19 | 74% ±30 | 88% ±31 | 16h | 1.93% | 1.08% | 148 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 75,488.15 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.8% | 19h | 21.7d ago · 50× | 79% ±28 | 38% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 55% ±16 | 37 | 77% ±12 | 79% ±28 | 83% ±43 | 98% | 1h | 1.59% | 1.43% | 45 → 1 | |
| at post · 75,458.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 74,219.02–75,045.75 (-0.5%) | 0.8 | 2.5% | 17h | 1.9d ago · 98× | 88% ±9 | 54% ±10 | 18% ±8 | 28% ±9 | 95 | 63% ±5 | 88% ±9 | 94% ±11 | 95% ±17 | 2h | 1.60% | 0.84% | 299 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 73,254.5–73,667.86 (-2.4%) | 3.6 | 0.8% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 35% ±16 | 41% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 48 | 8% ±4 | 35% ±16 | 65% ±27 | 81% ±34 | 2.0d | 1.20% | 1.22% | 212 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 71,187.66 (-5.7%) | 8.7 | 2.1% | 15h | 21.0d ago · 37× | 7% ±5 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 15% ±12 | 30% ±23 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 653 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 75,458.3 | 72,607.13 | 77,688.51 | expired | -2.04% |