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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-02 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 79,179.42 (+1.3%) | 2.9 | 0.4% | 3h | 6.3d ago · 38× | 37% ±18 | 40% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 54% ±17 | 32 | 6% ±4 | 36% ±18 | 63% ±32 | 77% ±41 | 1.5d | 1.19% | 1.56% | 168 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 78,529.24 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 1.1% | 6h | 1.9d ago · 67× | 76% ±14 | 56% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 52% ±7 | 76% ±14 | 85% ±20 | 88% ±29 | 4h | 1.69% | 1.06% | 209 → 5 | |
| at post · 78,169.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 78,124.77 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.7% | 23h | 2.3d ago · 72× | 92% ±14 | 41% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 52% ±14 | 51 | 78% ±9 | 92% ±14 | 93% ±22 | 97% ±25 | 1h | 1.26% | 1.28% | 87 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 77,690.27–77,732.64 (-0.6%) | 1.3 | 3.1% | 22h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 81% ±13 | 44% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 43% ±12 | 69 | 46% ±7 | 81% ±13 | 88% ±19 | 92% ±24 | 5h | 1.33% | 0.97% | 205 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 75,321.33–76,561.43 (-2.1%) | 4.7 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 29% ±11 | 54% ±10 | 18% ±8 | 28% ±9 | 96 | 4% ±2 | 29% ±10 | 51% ±20 | 71% ±28 | 2.9d | 1.52% | 0.86% | 429 → 10 | |
| 7D POC | 76,129.43 (-2.6%) | 5.9 | 2.8% | 19h | 1.7d ago · 115× | 21% ±11 | 43% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 47% ±10 | 102 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±11 | 47% ±23 | 66% ±33 | 3.7d | 1.28% | 0.95% | 320 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 75,809.82–75,877.14 (-2.9%) | 6.7 | 2.5% | 17h | 1.2d ago · 100× | 13% ±6 | 54% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 41% ±11 | 84 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±6 | 29% ±14 | 43% ±24 | > 7d | 1.48% | 1.60% | 716 → 17 | |
| LVN zone | 73,392.28–73,667.86 (-5.8%) | 13 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 5% ±8 | 41% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 48 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 11% ±19 | 26% ±43 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.22% | 177 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 72,014.39 (-7.9%) | 18 | 1.6% | 7h | 20.9d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±8 | 19% ±19 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 717 → 17 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 78,169.7 | 80,417.33 | 76,129.43 | expired | +0.70% |