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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-03 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 79,195.47 (+0.6%) | 2.1 | 0.2% | 1h | 6.3d ago · 38× | 46% ±22 | 40% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 54% ±17 | 32 | 14% ±6 | 49% ±21 | 73% ±33 | 83% ±43 | 1.0d | 1.19% | 1.56% | 128 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,858.69 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 0.6% | 3h | 2.2d ago · 89× | 84% ±11 | 47% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 75 | 61% ±6 | 84% ±11 | 90% ±15 | 93% ±21 | 2h | 1.44% | 1.03% | 247 → 6 | |
| at post · 78,715.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 78,702.82 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 0.8% | 5h | 2.2d ago · 58× | 91% ±18 | 40% ±15 | 9% ±8 | 51% ±15 | 44 | 78% ±10 | 91% ±18 | 92% ±30 | 94% | 1h | 1.36% | 1.06% | 62 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 77,119.23–78,416.88 (-0.4%) | 1.3 | 1.3% | 15h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 78% ±12 | 54% ±10 | 18% ±8 | 28% ±9 | 97 | 45% ±6 | 78% ±12 | 88% ±16 | 89% ±23 | 6h | 1.44% | 0.84% | 300 → 7 | |
| 7D POC | 78,147.71 (-0.7%) | 2.5 | 1.9% | 19h | 1.7d ago · 115× | 62% ±14 | 43% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 47% ±10 | 102 | 17% ±4 | 62% ±14 | 79% ±20 | 88% ±24 | 16h | 1.28% | 0.95% | 282 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 77,690.27–77,703.17 (-1.3%) | 4.5 | 2.2% | 15h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 22% ±12 | 45% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 42% ±12 | 70 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±11 | 44% ±24 | 54% ±37 | 4.0d | 1.33% | 0.93% | 300 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 76,335.84 (-3.0%) | 11 | 1.5% | 12h | 1.4d ago · 100× | 6% ±5 | 62% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 21% ±14 | 39% ±27 | > 7d | 1.61% | 1.41% | 552 → 13 | |
| 14D VAL | 75,983.4 (-3.5%) | 12 | 1.6% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 57× | 4% ±3 | 40% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 55% ±14 | 50 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 13% ±10 | 26% ±20 | > 7d | 1.27% | 1.93% | 736 → 18 | |
| LVN zone | 73,356.05–73,615.58 (-6.5%) | 23 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 2% ±8 | 41% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 48 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 27% ±61 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.22% | 67 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 72,447.69 (-8.0%) | 28 | 0.7% | 2h | 20.9d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±9 | 15% ±21 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 450 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 78,715.4 | 81,434.82 | 77,690.27 | expired | +0.13% |