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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-05 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 81,223.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 81,085.89 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.1d ago · 72× | 89% ±15 | 42% ±13 | 9% ±8 | 49% ±13 | 54 | 72% ±9 | 89% ±15 | 91% ±23 | 95% ±24 | 1h | 1.28% | 1.25% | 105 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 80,401.47 (-1.0%) | 1.6 | 0.8% | 4h | 7.2d ago · 36× | 61% ±23 | 43% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 43% ±17 | 34 | 29% ±9 | 62% ±22 | 83% ±30 | 91% ±33 | 12h | 1.57% | 0.82% | 108 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,133.1 (-2.6%) | 4.1 | 1.3% | 6h | 2.0d ago · 58× | 37% ±19 | 42% ±14 | 8% ±8 | 50% ±15 | 45 | 6% ±4 | 37% ±19 | 59% ±32 | 74% ±43 | 1.9d | 1.36% | 1.04% | 158 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 77,186.78–78,648 (-3.2%) | 5.1 | 2.5% | 20h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 27% ±10 | 55% ±10 | 18% ±8 | 27% ±9 | 99 | 4% ±2 | 27% ±10 | 49% ±20 | 70% ±28 | 3.3d | 1.60% | 0.84% | 426 → 10 | |
| 7D POC | 78,425.66 (-3.4%) | 5.5 | 3.0% | 1.2d | 1.6d ago · 115× | 22% ±11 | 43% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 46% ±10 | 103 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±11 | 48% ±22 | 67% ±33 | 3.5d | 1.31% | 0.94% | 337 → 8 | |
| 14D POC | 78,125.55 (-3.8%) | 6.1 | 4.0% | 1.6d | 1.4d ago · 85× | 12% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 12% ±8 | 43% ±12 | 71 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±8 | 30% ±20 | 43% ±32 | > 7d | 1.16% | 0.83% | 359 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 77,844.33 (-4.2%) | 6.7 | 4.2% | 1.3d | 1.4d ago · 63× | 16% ±10 | 47% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±10 | 33% ±22 | 43% ±37 | > 7d | 1.55% | 0.99% | 304 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 76,855.16 (-5.4%) | 8.7 | 2.1% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 100× | 9% ±5 | 62% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 26% ±14 | 43% ±24 | > 7d | 1.61% | 1.41% | 658 → 16 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,142.96 (-6.3%) | 10 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 1.1d ago · 57× | 5% ±4 | 40% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 55% ±14 | 50 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±4 | 15% ±11 | 27% ±21 | > 7d | 1.27% | 1.93% | 769 → 18 | |
| LVN zone | 73,387.61–73,533.73 (-9.5%) | 15 | 0.7% | 4h | 1.1d ago · 47× | 2% ±5 | 41% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 48 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 4% ±12 | 20% ±39 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.22% | 167 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 72,803.12 (-10.4%) | 17 | 1.6% | 16h | 20.8d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±8 | 19% ±18 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 750 → 18 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 81,223.3 | 85,454.03 | 78,425.66 | expired | +1.19% |