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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-07 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 81,989.58 (+1.0%) | 1.9 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.2d ago · 89× | 60% ±13 | 48% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 77 | 25% ±5 | 60% ±13 | 76% ±20 | 84% ±25 | 14h | 1.27% | 1.07% | 315 → 8 | |
| 7D POC | 81,255.34 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.5% | 12h | 2.0d ago · 117× | 88% ±10 | 42% ±9 | 9% ±6 | 49% ±10 | 105 | 76% ±5 | 88% ±10 | 95% ±11 | 98% ±12 | 1h | 1.45% | 1.05% | 246 → 6 | |
| at post · 81,195.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 80,409.87 (-1.0%) | 1.8 | 0.6% | 3h | 7.3d ago · 36× | 57% ±22 | 43% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 43% ±17 | 34 | 24% ±8 | 56% ±22 | 80% ±30 | 92% ±30 | 17h | 1.57% | 0.82% | 117 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,644.42 (-1.9%) | 3.6 | 0.8% | 3h | 2.2d ago · 58× | 38% ±18 | 42% ±14 | 8% ±8 | 50% ±15 | 45 | 7% ±4 | 37% ±18 | 59% ±31 | 74% ±43 | 1.9d | 1.36% | 1.04% | 172 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 77,083.97–78,595.74 (-3.2%) | 6.1 | 2.1% | 16h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 21% ±9 | 55% ±10 | 18% ±8 | 27% ±9 | 99 | 2% ±1 | 21% ±9 | 43% ±20 | 66% ±29 | 4.1d | 1.60% | 0.84% | 434 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL | 78,423.3 (-3.4%) | 6.5 | 2.5% | 1.0d | 1.4d ago · 100× | 15% ±6 | 62% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±6 | 33% ±14 | 48% ±23 | > 7d | 1.61% | 1.41% | 738 → 18 | |
| 30D POC | 78,066.62 (-3.9%) | 7.3 | 3.6% | 1.4d | 1.5d ago · 63× | 13% ±9 | 47% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±9 | 29% ±21 | 42% ±34 | > 7d | 1.55% | 0.99% | 327 → 8 | |
| 14D POC | 77,694.05 (-4.3%) | 8.2 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 1.5d ago · 85× | 5% ±6 | 45% ±12 | 12% ±8 | 43% ±12 | 71 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 21% ±17 | 33% ±31 | > 7d | 1.16% | 0.83% | 390 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 75,584.46 (-6.9%) | 13 | 2.8% | 21h | 1.2d ago · 57× | 3% ±3 | 40% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 55% ±14 | 50 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±10 | 25% ±21 | > 7d | 1.27% | 1.93% | 723 → 17 | |
| 30D VAL | 72,851.02 (-10.3%) | 20 | 1.3% | 14h | 20.9d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±8 | 17% ±18 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 700 → 17 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 81,195.9 | 78,423.3 | 81,989.58 | expired | +1.66% |