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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-11 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 81,793.81 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.7d ago · 67× | 80% ±13 | 52% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 39% ±12 | 61 | 56% ±7 | 80% ±13 | 87% ±19 | 90% ±26 | 3h | 1.53% | 0.96% | 221 → 5 | |
| at post · 81,430.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 81,418.58 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.8% | 14h | 2.1d ago · 72× | 95% ±11 | 42% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 49% ±13 | 56 | 85% ±8 | 95% ±11 | 95% ±19 | 98% ±21 | 1h | 1.28% | 1.25% | 82 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 80,161.87–80,172.97 (-1.5%) | 3.4 | 2.0% | 18h | 1.4d ago · 115× | 42% ±13 | 45% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 45% ±10 | 104 | 10% ±3 | 42% ±13 | 60% ±23 | 73% ±31 | 1.8d | 1.25% | 0.89% | 321 → 8 | |
| 30D VAH | 79,736.08 (-2.1%) | 4.6 | 1.7% | 10h | 7.2d ago · 36× | 32% ±16 | 44% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 44% ±16 | 36 | 4% ±3 | 32% ±16 | 63% ±29 | 73% ±39 | 1.8d | 1.48% | 0.82% | 191 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 79,491.42 (-2.4%) | 5.2 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 100× | 20% ±7 | 62% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±7 | 38% ±15 | 52% ±23 | 6.3d | 1.61% | 1.41% | 755 → 18 | |
| HVN zone | 77,138.27–78,499.03 (-3.6%) | 7.9 | 2.1% | 17h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 15% ±8 | 55% ±10 | 18% ±8 | 27% ±9 | 99 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±8 | 36% ±19 | 58% ±31 | 5.1d | 1.60% | 0.84% | 430 → 10 | |
| 30D POC | 77,694.94 (-4.6%) | 10 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 63× | 7% ±6 | 47% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 17% ±16 | 39% ±32 | > 7d | 1.55% | 0.99% | 377 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 77,415.42 (-4.9%) | 11 | 2.8% | 1.0d | 1.0d ago · 57× | 4% ±3 | 40% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 55% ±14 | 50 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 13% ±10 | 26% ±20 | > 7d | 1.27% | 1.93% | 795 → 19 | |
| 30D VAL | 73,674.53 (-9.5%) | 21 | 0.7% | 3h | 20.8d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±8 | 15% ±18 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 668 → 16 | |
| LVN zone | 72,932.3–73,303.42 (-10.0%) | 22 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.0d ago · 47× | 1% ±5 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 2% ±13 | 22% ±57 | > 7d | 1.19% | 1.22% | 91 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 81,430.3 | 80,161.87 | 82,581.92 | expired | -0.10% |