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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-13 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 82,032.63 (+3.7%) | 7.5 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.7d ago · 67× | 14% ±6 | 51% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 40% ±12 | 62 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 31% ±15 | 45% ±24 | > 7d | 1.54% | 0.95% | 683 → 16 | |
| 7D VAH | 81,299.02 (+2.8%) | 5.7 | 2.5% | 20h | 2.0d ago · 89× | 18% ±7 | 49% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 43% ±11 | 80 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±7 | 43% ±15 | 57% ±24 | 4.5d | 1.45% | 1.05% | 730 → 17 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 80,755.75–80,798.72 (+2.1%) | 4.3 | 3.1% | 1.5d | 1.5d ago · 117× | 26% ±11 | 45% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 44% ±9 | 109 | 4% ±2 | 26% ±11 | 52% ±22 | 69% ±30 | 3.0d | 1.55% | 0.91% | 362 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 80,662.96–81,312.68 (+2.0%) | 4.1 | 2.6% | 1.2d | 1.0d ago · 79× | 29% ±11 | 55% ±11 | 15% ±8 | 30% ±10 | 77 | 6% ±2 | 29% ±11 | 64% ±21 | 80% ±26 | 2.0d | 1.65% | 1.17% | 370 → 9 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 79,688.38–79,800.34 (+0.8%) | 1.6 | 1.9% | 12h | 1.4d ago · 76× | 66% ±19 | 46% ±13 | 6% ±6 | 48% ±13 | 59 | 28% ±7 | 66% ±19 | 81% ±27 | 90% ±34 | 12h | 1.64% | 1.28% | 140 → 3 | |
| at post · 79,069.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 78,848.35 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 2.0% | 10h | 1.0d ago · 57× | 80% ±16 | 40% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 55% ±14 | 50 | 58% ±8 | 80% ±16 | 85% ±25 | 88% ±37 | 3h | 1.27% | 1.93% | 137 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 77,306.06–78,388.93 (-0.9%) | 1.7 | 2.6% | 1.1d | 1.6d ago · 98× | 65% ±13 | 54% ±10 | 17% ±7 | 28% ±9 | 100 | 27% ±5 | 65% ±13 | 78% ±20 | 82% ±29 | 11h | 1.52% | 0.84% | 303 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 77,685.07 (-1.8%) | 3.5 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 1.4d ago · 63× | 31% ±14 | 47% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 7% ±3 | 31% ±14 | 52% ±27 | 57% ±40 | 2.8d | 1.55% | 0.99% | 242 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 73,732.59 (-6.7%) | 14 | 0.8% | 3h | 20.8d ago · 37× | 3% ±3 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±9 | 21% ±18 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 832 → 20 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 79,069.5 | 80,798.72 | 78,275.18 | target | +3.50% |